Soft Red Winter Wheat Monthly Price - US Dollars per Metric Ton

Data as of March 2026

Range
Jul 2014 - Mar 2026: 29.090 (13.33%)
Chart

Description: Wheat (US), no. 2, soft red winter, export price delivered at the US Gulf port for prompt or 30 days shipment

Unit: US Dollars per Metric Ton



Source: US Department of Agriculture; World Bank.

See also: Agricultural production statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Soft Red Winter Wheat is a class of wheat grown primarily for milling into flour used in cakes, cookies, crackers, pastries, and some blended breads. On commodity markets, it is commonly priced as a milling wheat contract, with the Chicago soft red winter wheat futures contract serving as the standard benchmark in North American trade. Prices are typically quoted in U.S. dollars per metric ton or, in exchange-traded form, in bushels that can be converted to metric tons. The grain is valued for its relatively low protein content and soft endosperm, which produce flour with lower gluten strength than hard wheat classes. That makes it distinct from hard red winter wheat and hard red spring wheat, which are more suitable for bread flour. Soft red winter wheat is also used in feed rations when quality falls below milling standards, so its market links both food and feed demand. Its pricing reflects milling quality, protein content, moisture, test weight, and the availability of competing wheat classes and corn.

Supply Drivers

Soft red winter wheat supply is shaped by a winter-growing cycle, with planting in the autumn, dormancy through cold months, and harvest in late spring or early summer. This calendar exposes the crop to winterkill, freeze-thaw stress, excessive moisture, and spring disease pressure. The main producing areas are the eastern and central United States, where rainfall is generally more reliable than in drier wheat belts, but where humidity also increases fungal disease risk. Because the crop is harvested before many other grains, it often enters storage and transport channels ahead of the broader summer grain flow, making elevator capacity and rail or barge logistics important.

Yield depends heavily on soil moisture at planting and during spring growth, while excessive rain at harvest can reduce quality through sprouting and lower test weight. As a winter crop, it competes for acreage with other autumn-sown grains and with land uses that fit regional rotations. Production is also influenced by seed genetics, fertilizer costs, and the ability of farmers to manage disease with fungicides. Unlike perennial crops, wheat can be replanted each season, but acreage decisions respond to relative prices, input costs, and expected agronomic conditions. Because milling quality is sensitive to weather, supply is not only a matter of tonnage but also of grade distribution.

Demand Drivers

Demand for soft red winter wheat comes mainly from flour millers and food manufacturers that need low-protein wheat for soft-textured products. It is a key ingredient in cookies, crackers, cakes, pie crusts, and some noodles and blended breads. Millers often blend it with stronger wheats to achieve target flour characteristics, so its demand is partly derived from the broader wheat-milling complex. When soft red winter wheat is abundant or of lower quality, it can also move into livestock feed, linking its market to corn and feed barley prices.

Consumption is relatively stable because it is tied to staple food processing rather than discretionary spending, but the mix between food and feed use shifts with relative prices and crop quality. Seasonal demand patterns reflect milling and baking schedules, while export demand depends on the competitiveness of U.S. wheat against other origins in North Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Substitution among wheat classes is important: millers can adjust blends among soft red winter, hard red winter, hard red spring, and soft white wheat depending on protein needs and price spreads. Long-run demand is also shaped by population growth, urbanization, and the persistence of processed flour-based foods in diets.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Soft red winter wheat prices respond to broad grain-market conditions, especially the U.S. dollar, because wheat is traded internationally and a stronger dollar tends to reduce export competitiveness. Interest rates matter through storage and financing costs: grain held in inventory incurs carrying costs, which influence futures curves and the balance between nearby and deferred contracts. When inventories are ample, markets often exhibit contango; when nearby supply is tight relative to demand, backwardation can appear. Inflation can affect nominal grain prices through input costs such as fuel, fertilizer, and transport, although wheat also serves as a food staple whose price is sensitive to purchasing power. The contract often correlates with other agricultural markets, especially corn and soybeans, because acreage competition and feed substitution link their pricing.

MonthPriceChange
Jul 2014218.31-
Aug 2014220.360.94%
Sep 2014202.83-7.96%
Oct 2014220.148.53%
Nov 2014236.037.22%
Dec 2014261.7810.91%
Jan 2015231.47-11.58%
Feb 2015219.85-5.02%
Mar 2015218.80-0.48%
Apr 2015209.70-4.16%
May 2015200.77-4.26%
Jun 2015204.992.10%
Jul 2015207.381.17%
Aug 2015187.87-9.41%
Sep 2015193.973.25%
Oct 2015206.346.38%
Nov 2015203.41-1.42%
Dec 2015191.98-5.62%
Jan 2016191.73-0.13%
Feb 2016188.43-1.72%
Mar 2016189.690.67%
Apr 2016192.761.62%
May 2016189.85-1.51%
Jun 2016187.01-1.50%
Jul 2016166.51-10.96%
Aug 2016159.28-4.34%
Sep 2016157.56-1.08%
Oct 2016164.374.32%
Nov 2016167.281.77%
Dec 2016161.17-3.65%
Jan 2017173.617.72%
Feb 2017181.004.26%
Mar 2017176.54-2.46%
Apr 2017172.19-2.46%
May 2017174.971.61%
Jun 2017183.364.80%
Jul 2017201.7710.04%
Aug 2017172.68-14.42%
Sep 2017176.902.44%
Oct 2017177.010.06%
Nov 2017175.66-0.76%
Dec 2017172.49-1.80%
Jan 2018178.343.39%
Feb 2018190.566.85%
Mar 2018198.864.36%
Apr 2018198.79-0.04%
May 2018209.955.61%
Jun 2018206.00-1.88%
Jul 2018206.930.45%
Aug 2018217.445.08%
Sep 2018202.05-7.08%
Oct 2018209.103.49%
Nov 2018210.850.84%
Dec 2018217.813.30%
Jan 2019220.161.08%
Feb 2019217.25-1.32%
Mar 2019200.39-7.76%
Apr 2019197.33-1.53%
May 2019200.321.52%
Jun 2019222.4111.03%
Jul 2019203.96-8.30%
Aug 2019197.52-3.16%
Sep 2019201.912.22%
Oct 2019212.855.42%
Nov 2019223.545.02%
Dec 2019237.686.33%
Jan 2020247.994.34%
Feb 2020238.98-3.63%
Mar 2020228.12-4.54%
Apr 2020221.69-2.82%
May 2020209.93-5.30%
Jun 2020200.50-4.49%
Jul 2020212.746.10%
Aug 2020208.94-1.79%
Sep 2020219.685.14%
Oct 2020245.2011.62%
Nov 2020247.951.12%
Dec 2020251.151.29%
Jan 2021276.4510.07%
Feb 2021276.630.07%
Mar 2021272.58-1.46%
Apr 2021281.383.23%
May 2021270.98-3.70%
Jun 2021263.48-2.77%
Jul 2021254.67-3.34%
Aug 2021276.188.45%
Sep 2021263.60-4.55%
Nov 2021334.5026.90%
Dec 2021327.82-2.00%
Jan 2022325.16-0.81%
Feb 2022339.354.36%
Mar 2022446.6631.62%
Apr 2022427.31-4.33%
May 2022438.382.59%
Jun 2022379.89-13.34%
Jul 2022316.69-16.64%
Feb 2023311.88-1.52%
Mar 2023284.68-8.72%
Apr 2023277.16-2.64%
May 2023260.51-6.01%
Jun 2023257.00-1.35%
Jul 2023249.85-2.78%
Aug 2023230.81-7.62%
Sep 2023230.55-0.11%
Oct 2023236.652.65%
Nov 2023241.031.85%
Dec 2023255.035.81%
Jan 2024247.86-2.81%
Feb 2024246.16-0.69%
Mar 2024228.49-7.18%
Apr 2024227.81-0.30%
May 2024253.1611.13%
Jun 2024230.61-8.91%
Jul 2024218.84-5.10%
Aug 2024205.77-5.97%
Sep 2024219.216.53%
Oct 2024233.346.45%
Nov 2024229.02-1.85%
Dec 2024230.280.55%
Jan 2025230.580.13%
Feb 2025243.515.61%
Mar 2025227.54-6.56%
Apr 2025219.58-3.50%
May 2025221.270.77%
Jun 2025217.31-1.79%
Jul 2025210.59-3.09%
Aug 2025200.35-4.86%
Sep 2025206.963.30%
Oct 2025209.331.15%
Nov 2025225.197.58%
Dec 2025223.17-0.90%
Jan 2026217.65-2.47%
Feb 2026232.356.75%
Mar 2026247.406.48%

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