Soft Red Winter Wheat Monthly Price - Rand per Metric Ton

Data as of March 2026

Range
Dec 2017 - Jun 2025: 1,588.490 (69.51%)
Chart

Description: Wheat (US), no. 2, soft red winter, export price delivered at the US Gulf port for prompt or 30 days shipment

Unit: Rand per Metric Ton



Source: US Department of Agriculture; World Bank.

See also: Agricultural production statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Soft Red Winter Wheat is a class of wheat grown primarily for milling into flour used in cakes, cookies, crackers, pastries, and some blended breads. On commodity markets, it is commonly priced as a milling wheat contract, with the Chicago soft red winter wheat futures contract serving as the standard benchmark in North American trade. Prices are typically quoted in U.S. dollars per metric ton or, in exchange-traded form, in bushels that can be converted to metric tons. The grain is valued for its relatively low protein content and soft endosperm, which produce flour with lower gluten strength than hard wheat classes. That makes it distinct from hard red winter wheat and hard red spring wheat, which are more suitable for bread flour. Soft red winter wheat is also used in feed rations when quality falls below milling standards, so its market links both food and feed demand. Its pricing reflects milling quality, protein content, moisture, test weight, and the availability of competing wheat classes and corn.

Supply Drivers

Soft red winter wheat supply is shaped by a winter-growing cycle, with planting in the autumn, dormancy through cold months, and harvest in late spring or early summer. This calendar exposes the crop to winterkill, freeze-thaw stress, excessive moisture, and spring disease pressure. The main producing areas are the eastern and central United States, where rainfall is generally more reliable than in drier wheat belts, but where humidity also increases fungal disease risk. Because the crop is harvested before many other grains, it often enters storage and transport channels ahead of the broader summer grain flow, making elevator capacity and rail or barge logistics important.

Yield depends heavily on soil moisture at planting and during spring growth, while excessive rain at harvest can reduce quality through sprouting and lower test weight. As a winter crop, it competes for acreage with other autumn-sown grains and with land uses that fit regional rotations. Production is also influenced by seed genetics, fertilizer costs, and the ability of farmers to manage disease with fungicides. Unlike perennial crops, wheat can be replanted each season, but acreage decisions respond to relative prices, input costs, and expected agronomic conditions. Because milling quality is sensitive to weather, supply is not only a matter of tonnage but also of grade distribution.

Demand Drivers

Demand for soft red winter wheat comes mainly from flour millers and food manufacturers that need low-protein wheat for soft-textured products. It is a key ingredient in cookies, crackers, cakes, pie crusts, and some noodles and blended breads. Millers often blend it with stronger wheats to achieve target flour characteristics, so its demand is partly derived from the broader wheat-milling complex. When soft red winter wheat is abundant or of lower quality, it can also move into livestock feed, linking its market to corn and feed barley prices.

Consumption is relatively stable because it is tied to staple food processing rather than discretionary spending, but the mix between food and feed use shifts with relative prices and crop quality. Seasonal demand patterns reflect milling and baking schedules, while export demand depends on the competitiveness of U.S. wheat against other origins in North Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Substitution among wheat classes is important: millers can adjust blends among soft red winter, hard red winter, hard red spring, and soft white wheat depending on protein needs and price spreads. Long-run demand is also shaped by population growth, urbanization, and the persistence of processed flour-based foods in diets.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Soft red winter wheat prices respond to broad grain-market conditions, especially the U.S. dollar, because wheat is traded internationally and a stronger dollar tends to reduce export competitiveness. Interest rates matter through storage and financing costs: grain held in inventory incurs carrying costs, which influence futures curves and the balance between nearby and deferred contracts. When inventories are ample, markets often exhibit contango; when nearby supply is tight relative to demand, backwardation can appear. Inflation can affect nominal grain prices through input costs such as fuel, fertilizer, and transport, although wheat also serves as a food staple whose price is sensitive to purchasing power. The contract often correlates with other agricultural markets, especially corn and soybeans, because acreage competition and feed substitution link their pricing.

MonthPriceChange
Dec 20172,285.25-
Jan 20182,179.02-4.65%
Feb 20182,256.113.54%
Mar 20182,351.884.24%
Apr 20182,407.672.37%
May 20182,633.189.37%
Jun 20182,739.504.04%
Jul 20182,767.701.03%
Aug 20183,064.4010.72%
Sep 20182,989.57-2.44%
Oct 20183,028.771.31%
Nov 20182,978.89-1.65%
Dec 20183,091.763.79%
Jan 20193,050.89-1.32%
Feb 20192,999.45-1.69%
Mar 20192,882.88-3.89%
Apr 20192,791.22-3.18%
May 20192,890.433.55%
Jun 20193,240.0312.10%
Jul 20192,859.96-11.73%
Aug 20192,993.684.68%
Sep 20192,993.610.00%
Oct 20193,174.346.04%
Nov 20193,309.184.25%
Dec 20193,440.663.97%
Jan 20203,572.283.83%
Feb 20203,579.430.20%
Mar 20203,785.815.77%
Apr 20204,077.637.71%
May 20203,806.85-6.64%
Jun 20203,434.21-9.79%
Jul 20203,566.203.84%
Aug 20203,595.130.81%
Sep 20203,668.902.05%
Oct 20204,033.559.94%
Nov 20203,860.93-4.28%
Dec 20203,780.33-2.09%
Jan 20214,178.9510.54%
Feb 20214,091.75-2.09%
Mar 20214,087.06-0.11%
Apr 20214,052.90-0.84%
May 20213,817.30-5.81%
Jun 20213,667.08-3.94%
Jul 20213,711.521.21%
Aug 20214,093.4210.29%
Sep 20213,839.63-6.20%
Nov 20215,178.2534.86%
Dec 20215,195.690.34%
Jan 20225,039.92-3.00%
Feb 20225,167.932.54%
Mar 20226,699.6829.64%
Apr 20226,428.56-4.05%
May 20226,965.768.36%
Jun 20225,997.38-13.90%
Jul 20225,334.78-11.05%
Feb 20235,578.804.57%
Mar 20235,207.68-6.65%
Apr 20235,038.19-3.25%
May 20234,958.78-1.58%
Jun 20234,830.29-2.59%
Jul 20234,532.71-6.16%
Aug 20234,329.44-4.48%
Sep 20234,377.471.11%
Oct 20234,505.352.92%
Nov 20234,457.85-1.05%
Dec 20234,771.207.03%
Jan 20244,659.66-2.34%
Feb 20244,677.140.38%
Mar 20244,311.75-7.81%
Apr 20244,300.17-0.27%
May 20244,663.958.46%
Jun 20244,254.15-8.79%
Jul 20243,995.22-6.09%
Aug 20243,710.38-7.13%
Sep 20243,861.964.09%
Oct 20244,096.826.08%
Nov 20244,105.720.22%
Dec 20244,155.021.20%
Jan 20254,315.823.87%
Feb 20254,505.314.39%
Mar 20254,160.49-7.65%
Apr 20254,146.59-0.33%
May 20254,008.16-3.34%
Jun 20253,873.74-3.35%

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