Soft Red Winter Wheat Monthly Price - New Zealand Dollar per Metric Ton

Data as of March 2026

Range
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026: 21.665 (5.41%)
Chart

Description: Wheat (US), no. 2, soft red winter, export price delivered at the US Gulf port for prompt or 30 days shipment

Unit: New Zealand Dollar per Metric Ton



Source: US Department of Agriculture; World Bank.

See also: Agricultural production statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Soft Red Winter Wheat is a class of wheat grown primarily for milling into flour used in cakes, cookies, crackers, pastries, and some blended breads. On commodity markets, it is commonly priced as a milling wheat contract, with the Chicago soft red winter wheat futures contract serving as the standard benchmark in North American trade. Prices are typically quoted in U.S. dollars per metric ton or, in exchange-traded form, in bushels that can be converted to metric tons. The grain is valued for its relatively low protein content and soft endosperm, which produce flour with lower gluten strength than hard wheat classes. That makes it distinct from hard red winter wheat and hard red spring wheat, which are more suitable for bread flour. Soft red winter wheat is also used in feed rations when quality falls below milling standards, so its market links both food and feed demand. Its pricing reflects milling quality, protein content, moisture, test weight, and the availability of competing wheat classes and corn.

Supply Drivers

Soft red winter wheat supply is shaped by a winter-growing cycle, with planting in the autumn, dormancy through cold months, and harvest in late spring or early summer. This calendar exposes the crop to winterkill, freeze-thaw stress, excessive moisture, and spring disease pressure. The main producing areas are the eastern and central United States, where rainfall is generally more reliable than in drier wheat belts, but where humidity also increases fungal disease risk. Because the crop is harvested before many other grains, it often enters storage and transport channels ahead of the broader summer grain flow, making elevator capacity and rail or barge logistics important.

Yield depends heavily on soil moisture at planting and during spring growth, while excessive rain at harvest can reduce quality through sprouting and lower test weight. As a winter crop, it competes for acreage with other autumn-sown grains and with land uses that fit regional rotations. Production is also influenced by seed genetics, fertilizer costs, and the ability of farmers to manage disease with fungicides. Unlike perennial crops, wheat can be replanted each season, but acreage decisions respond to relative prices, input costs, and expected agronomic conditions. Because milling quality is sensitive to weather, supply is not only a matter of tonnage but also of grade distribution.

Demand Drivers

Demand for soft red winter wheat comes mainly from flour millers and food manufacturers that need low-protein wheat for soft-textured products. It is a key ingredient in cookies, crackers, cakes, pie crusts, and some noodles and blended breads. Millers often blend it with stronger wheats to achieve target flour characteristics, so its demand is partly derived from the broader wheat-milling complex. When soft red winter wheat is abundant or of lower quality, it can also move into livestock feed, linking its market to corn and feed barley prices.

Consumption is relatively stable because it is tied to staple food processing rather than discretionary spending, but the mix between food and feed use shifts with relative prices and crop quality. Seasonal demand patterns reflect milling and baking schedules, while export demand depends on the competitiveness of U.S. wheat against other origins in North Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Substitution among wheat classes is important: millers can adjust blends among soft red winter, hard red winter, hard red spring, and soft white wheat depending on protein needs and price spreads. Long-run demand is also shaped by population growth, urbanization, and the persistence of processed flour-based foods in diets.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Soft red winter wheat prices respond to broad grain-market conditions, especially the U.S. dollar, because wheat is traded internationally and a stronger dollar tends to reduce export competitiveness. Interest rates matter through storage and financing costs: grain held in inventory incurs carrying costs, which influence futures curves and the balance between nearby and deferred contracts. When inventories are ample, markets often exhibit contango; when nearby supply is tight relative to demand, backwardation can appear. Inflation can affect nominal grain prices through input costs such as fuel, fertilizer, and transport, although wheat also serves as a food staple whose price is sensitive to purchasing power. The contract often correlates with other agricultural markets, especially corn and soybeans, because acreage competition and feed substitution link their pricing.

MonthPriceChange
Apr 2011400.78-
May 2011388.32-3.11%
Jun 2011346.25-10.83%
Jul 2011314.61-9.14%
Aug 2011331.285.30%
Sep 2011329.35-0.58%
Oct 2011321.55-2.37%
Nov 2011326.431.52%
Dec 2011318.09-2.55%
Jan 2012317.16-0.29%
Feb 2012315.44-0.54%
Mar 2012316.530.35%
Apr 2012310.90-1.78%
May 2012323.193.95%
Jun 2012319.92-1.01%
Jul 2012404.8126.54%
Aug 2012412.111.80%
Sep 2012419.961.91%
Oct 2012415.06-1.17%
Nov 2012422.881.88%
Dec 2012390.45-7.67%
Jan 2013368.95-5.50%
Feb 2013355.09-3.76%
Mar 2013345.42-2.72%
Apr 2013328.32-4.95%
May 2013337.642.84%
Jun 2013339.260.48%
Jul 2013330.58-2.56%
Aug 2013318.67-3.60%
Sep 2013319.460.25%
Oct 2013344.577.86%
Nov 2013331.50-3.79%
Dec 2013324.65-2.07%
Jan 2014297.72-8.29%
Feb 2014312.514.97%
Mar 2014336.947.82%
Apr 2014321.45-4.60%
May 2014321.880.13%
Jun 2014274.80-14.63%
Jul 2014251.14-8.61%
Aug 2014261.264.03%
Sep 2014248.73-4.79%
Oct 2014279.6512.43%
Nov 2014301.567.84%
Dec 2014337.1711.81%
Jan 2015303.43-10.01%
Feb 2015295.62-2.58%
Mar 2015292.85-0.93%
Apr 2015276.62-5.54%
May 2015271.43-1.88%
Jun 2015293.348.07%
Jul 2015311.946.34%
Aug 2015286.86-8.04%
Sep 2015306.046.69%
Oct 2015309.511.13%
Nov 2015309.840.11%
Dec 2015285.00-8.02%
Jan 2016293.753.07%
Feb 2016284.09-3.29%
Mar 2016282.13-0.69%
Apr 2016279.71-0.86%
May 2016278.86-0.31%
Jun 2016266.07-4.58%
Jul 2016233.90-12.09%
Aug 2016220.36-5.79%
Sep 2016215.46-2.22%
Oct 2016229.636.57%
Nov 2016233.421.65%
Dec 2016228.71-2.02%
Jan 2017244.626.96%
Feb 2017250.542.42%
Mar 2017251.700.47%
Apr 2017246.89-1.91%
May 2017252.422.24%
Jun 2017253.960.61%
Jul 2017274.728.17%
Aug 2017236.03-14.08%
Sep 2017244.003.38%
Oct 2017250.352.60%
Nov 2017254.991.85%
Dec 2017248.12-2.69%
Jan 2018246.08-0.82%
Feb 2018260.795.98%
Mar 2018273.905.02%
Apr 2018273.930.01%
May 2018301.9710.24%
Jun 2018296.84-1.70%
Jul 2018304.812.69%
Aug 2018326.006.95%
Sep 2018306.40-6.01%
Oct 2018320.004.44%
Nov 2018311.95-2.52%
Dec 2018318.672.15%
Jan 2019324.821.93%
Feb 2019317.99-2.10%
Mar 2019293.33-7.76%
Apr 2019293.21-0.04%
May 2019305.214.09%
Jun 2019337.1610.47%
Jul 2019305.03-9.53%
Aug 2019306.910.62%
Sep 2019318.173.67%
Oct 2019336.195.66%
Nov 2019349.493.96%
Dec 2019361.533.45%
Jan 2020375.383.83%
Feb 2020373.82-0.42%
Mar 2020377.711.04%
Apr 2020369.90-2.07%
May 2020345.08-6.71%
Jun 2020311.05-9.86%
Jul 2020322.813.78%
Aug 2020316.80-1.86%
Sep 2020329.484.00%
Oct 2020369.7912.23%
Nov 2020362.63-1.94%
Dec 2020355.23-2.04%
Jan 2021384.068.12%
Feb 2021381.84-0.58%
Mar 2021381.62-0.06%
Apr 2021394.933.49%
May 2021375.49-4.92%
Jun 2021370.47-1.34%
Jul 2021364.76-1.54%
Aug 2021396.588.72%
Sep 2021374.08-5.67%
Nov 2021475.1027.01%
Dec 2021483.781.83%
Jan 2022482.45-0.28%
Feb 2022509.005.50%
Mar 2022651.2227.94%
Apr 2022630.28-3.22%
May 2022685.458.75%
Jun 2022597.07-12.89%
Jul 2022510.58-14.49%
Feb 2023495.01-3.05%
Mar 2023459.13-7.25%
Apr 2023446.14-2.83%
May 2023418.62-6.17%
Jun 2023419.310.16%
Jul 2023401.08-4.35%
Aug 2023384.72-4.08%
Sep 2023389.181.16%
Oct 2023400.782.98%
Nov 2023403.420.66%
Dec 2023411.872.09%
Jan 2024401.77-2.45%
Feb 2024401.75-0.01%
Mar 2024375.29-6.59%
Apr 2024382.061.80%
May 2024418.089.43%
Jun 2024375.49-10.19%
Jul 2024363.26-3.26%
Aug 2024338.55-6.80%
Sep 2024352.544.13%
Oct 2024382.858.60%
Nov 2024387.311.16%
Dec 2024397.842.72%
Jan 2025409.252.87%
Feb 2025429.014.83%
Mar 2025397.56-7.33%
Apr 2025378.48-4.80%
May 2025373.04-1.44%
Jun 2025360.46-3.37%
Jul 2025351.02-2.62%
Aug 2025339.50-3.28%
Sep 2025351.393.50%
Oct 2025363.033.31%
Nov 2025398.939.89%
Dec 2025386.23-3.18%
Jan 2026377.39-2.29%
Feb 2026386.422.39%
Mar 2026422.459.32%

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