Soft Logs Monthly Price - Yen per Cubic meter

Data as of March 2026

Range
Apr 2021 - Mar 2026: 2,350.984 (9.21%)
Chart

Description: Soft Logs, Average Export price from the U.S. for Douglas Fir, Yen per Cubic meter

Unit: Yen per Cubic meter



Source: International Monetary Fund

See also: Agricultural production statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Soft logs are roundwood harvested from coniferous tree species such as pine, spruce, fir, and similar softwood species used in industrial processing. In commodity markets, they are typically priced by volume, commonly in US dollars per cubic meter, with benchmark series often based on average export prices from the United States. Soft logs are an upstream forestry input rather than a finished material, and their value reflects species, log dimensions, quality, moisture content, and suitability for sawmilling, veneer, pulp, or engineered wood production. They are distinct from lumber because they are sold in log form before primary processing.

The main end uses are sawn timber, plywood, veneer, pulp, paper, and panel products. Soft logs also feed biomass and energy applications in some regions, although industrial wood processing remains the core demand channel. Because logs are bulky and expensive to transport relative to value, trade is shaped by proximity to mills, ports, and inland transport networks. Pricing therefore reflects both forest biology and industrial geography, making soft logs a classic example of a commodity whose market structure is determined by long-lived regional supply chains.

Supply Drivers

Soft log supply is governed by forest biology, land ownership, harvest rotation, and transport access. Major producing regions include North America, northern and central Europe, Russia, and parts of the Southern Hemisphere where plantation forestry is established. Softwood species grow best in temperate and boreal climates, where long rotations and large land bases support commercial forestry. In plantation systems, supply is more regular because trees are planted, thinned, and harvested on managed cycles; in natural forests, supply depends more on allowable cuts, regeneration, and ecological constraints.

Weather and climate affect supply through drought, frost, windthrow, wildfire, and insect outbreaks. These factors can alter harvest timing, damage standing timber, and change log quality. Forest pests and disease can also shift the species mix available to mills. Harvesting is capital intensive and depends on roads, logging equipment, and seasonal ground conditions, especially where frozen soils or dry periods are needed for access. Because trees require many years to mature, supply responds slowly to price signals. Milling capacity, export terminals, and inland freight corridors also matter: logs are heavy and low value per unit weight, so transport costs can determine whether a stand is economically harvestable.

Demand Drivers

Demand for soft logs is driven by construction, packaging, furniture, paper, and industrial wood processing. Sawmills convert logs into lumber for framing, flooring, and general building materials, while veneer and plywood mills require logs with specific diameter and straightness characteristics. Pulp mills use lower-grade logs and residual fiber for paper, tissue, and panel products. This creates a quality ladder in which higher-grade logs command premiums and lower-grade material competes with pulpwood and biomass uses.

Housing activity is a major structural demand driver because softwood lumber is widely used in residential construction and renovation. Demand also rises with broader industrial output, freight packaging needs, and consumer spending on wood-based goods. Substitution occurs across wood products: engineered wood can replace some solid lumber applications, while steel, concrete, plastics, and composites can substitute in certain building or packaging uses. Seasonal patterns matter because construction and harvesting are often constrained by weather. Demand is also influenced by long-run shifts in paper consumption, recycling rates, and the adoption of engineered wood products, all of which change the mix of log grades required by mills.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Soft log prices are sensitive to exchange rates because international trade is commonly denominated in US dollars while production costs are incurred in local currencies. A stronger dollar can make exports less competitive for foreign buyers, while a weaker dollar can support trade flows. Interest rates matter indirectly through housing, construction finance, and inventory holding costs at mills and exporters. Because logs are bulky and costly to store, market structure often reflects local supply-demand balances rather than deep financial warehousing dynamics.

Inflation affects harvesting, labor, fuel, equipment, and freight costs, which feed into delivered log prices. Soft logs do not function as a classic financial hedge, but they can correlate with broader industrial activity and housing cycles. Where storage is limited, nearby supply and mill demand can create short-term price pressure, while transport bottlenecks can widen regional price differences. The market is therefore shaped more by physical logistics and processing capacity than by speculative storage economics.

MonthPriceChange
Apr 202125,538.51-
May 202125,725.960.73%
Jun 202125,855.070.50%
Jul 202127,432.466.10%
Aug 202125,578.54-6.76%
Sep 202128,336.1610.78%
Oct 202127,445.74-3.14%
Nov 202126,852.33-2.16%
Dec 202127,457.692.25%
Jan 202228,151.842.53%
Feb 202231,080.2010.40%
Mar 202234,956.7612.47%
Apr 202233,632.59-3.79%
May 202238,211.1413.61%
Jun 202238,384.650.45%
Jul 202238,046.79-0.88%
Aug 202237,513.50-1.40%
Sep 202237,324.18-0.50%
Oct 202237,998.841.81%
Nov 202238,424.291.12%
Dec 202233,508.91-12.79%
Jan 202330,646.59-8.54%
Feb 202329,440.75-3.93%
Mar 202329,435.05-0.02%
Apr 202328,142.81-4.39%
May 202329,938.526.38%
Jun 202329,886.09-0.18%
Jul 202331,264.034.61%
Aug 202330,111.19-3.69%
Sep 202331,744.435.42%
Oct 202332,610.272.73%
Nov 202330,713.32-5.82%
Dec 202329,129.75-5.16%
Jan 202432,132.7210.31%
Feb 202430,624.85-4.69%
Mar 202429,534.48-3.56%
Apr 202431,076.395.22%
May 202430,213.74-2.78%
Jun 202431,185.443.22%
Jul 202429,687.14-4.80%
Aug 202426,188.84-11.78%
Sep 202427,852.106.35%
Oct 202429,452.455.75%
Nov 202428,769.22-2.32%
Dec 202427,277.75-5.18%
Jan 202532,924.0620.70%
Feb 202529,364.37-10.81%
Mar 202528,889.23-1.62%
Apr 202531,277.148.27%
May 202532,195.002.93%
Jun 202530,551.42-5.11%
Jul 202530,884.621.09%
Aug 202532,537.505.35%
Sep 202528,753.94-11.63%
Oct 202529,477.982.52%
Nov 202531,154.335.69%
Dec 202529,865.58-4.14%
Jan 202627,726.06-7.16%
Feb 202627,281.47-1.60%
Mar 202627,889.502.23%

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