Crude Oil (petroleum), Price index Monthly Price - Index Number

Data as of March 2026

Range
Jul 2014 - Mar 2026: 29.090 (13.13%)
Chart

Description: Crude Oil (petroleum), Price index, 2016 = 100, simple average of three spot prices; Dated Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and the Dubai Fateh

Unit: Index Number

Source: International Monetary Fund

See also: Agricultural production statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture produced from underground reservoirs and refined into fuels and petrochemical feedstocks. In commodity markets, it is typically priced by benchmark grades such as Brent, West Texas Intermediate, and Dubai/Oman, with prices quoted in U.S. dollars per barrel. A price index for crude oil aggregates movements across benchmark grades or representative spot and futures contracts into a single index number, allowing comparison over time and across markets. One barrel equals 42 U.S. gallons, and the standard trading unit is the barrel, though physical cargoes are also traded in metric tons in some regions.

Crude oil is the principal input for gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, marine fuel, lubricants, asphalt, and many petrochemicals. Its market importance comes from its dual role as both an energy source and a chemical feedstock. Because refining can shift output among products, crude oil prices transmit through the broader energy complex and into transportation, manufacturing, agriculture, and household energy use.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, extraction technology, and transport infrastructure. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Conventional fields often exhibit natural decline after peak output, while shale and tight oil require continuous drilling to offset steep well declines. Offshore projects and oil sands typically involve high capital costs and long lead times, which make supply slower to respond to price changes.

Weather and climate affect supply through hurricane disruption in offshore areas, freeze-offs in cold regions, and seasonal maintenance constraints. Political stability, export logistics, pipeline capacity, port access, and refinery compatibility also shape deliverability. OPEC and other coordinated producers influence supply by managing output within the limits of spare capacity and reservoir behavior, but physical constraints remain central. Because oil is storable, supply disruptions can be buffered temporarily, yet prolonged outages or bottlenecks still move prices sharply.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven mainly by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and some power generation. Road fuels, aviation fuel, diesel for freight, and marine bunkers account for much of consumption, so demand is closely tied to freight activity, passenger travel, and industrial production. Petrochemical demand links crude oil to plastics, synthetic fibers, solvents, and fertilizers through naphtha and other refinery streams. In many uses, oil competes with natural gas, coal, biofuels, electricity, and, in transport, efficiency improvements and alternative drivetrains.

Demand is seasonal in many regions because gasoline use rises with driving activity and heating oil demand increases in colder periods. Income growth tends to raise oil consumption through higher mobility, freight, and goods production, though efficiency gains moderate the effect over time. Refinery configuration also matters: light, sweet crudes and heavy, sour crudes are not perfect substitutes because different refineries are built for different feedstocks. Environmental standards and fuel specifications influence product slates and can shift demand among crude grades rather than eliminate oil use entirely.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is usually priced in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect purchasing power for non-dollar buyers and can influence global demand. Because oil is storable, futures curves reflect the cost of carry: storage, insurance, and financing. When inventories are ample, deferred contracts often trade above nearby contracts; when supply is tight, nearby prices can exceed deferred prices. Interest rates matter through financing costs for inventories and capital-intensive upstream projects.

Oil prices often correlate with broader industrial activity and can move with expectations for manufacturing, freight, and travel demand. They also interact with inflation because energy costs feed into transport, production, and consumer prices. As a result, crude oil can behave as both a cyclical commodity and a partial inflation pass-through mechanism, though it is not a pure financial hedge.

MonthPriceChange
Jul 2014221.56-
Aug 2014212.79-3.96%
Sep 2014207.61-2.43%
Oct 2014188.07-9.41%
Nov 2014170.23-9.49%
Dec 2014134.86-20.78%
Jan 2015108.34-19.66%
Feb 2015126.2316.51%
Mar 2015123.82-1.91%
Apr 2015134.678.76%
May 2015144.437.25%
Jun 2015141.63-1.94%
Jul 2015126.59-10.62%
Aug 2015105.85-16.38%
Sep 2015106.800.90%
Oct 2015108.351.45%
Nov 2015101.21-6.59%
Dec 201585.53-15.49%
Jan 201670.15-17.98%
Feb 201672.263.01%
Mar 201686.7520.05%
Apr 201693.798.12%
May 2016105.6512.65%
Jun 2016109.863.98%
Jul 2016103.17-6.09%
Aug 2016103.940.75%
Sep 2016104.460.50%
Oct 2016115.8510.90%
Nov 2016107.41-7.29%
Dec 2016126.7017.96%
Jan 2017128.751.62%
Feb 2017130.131.07%
Mar 2017121.94-6.29%
Apr 2017124.522.12%
May 2017117.84-5.36%
Jun 2017108.21-8.17%
Jul 2017110.832.42%
Aug 2017114.853.63%
Sep 2017120.905.27%
Oct 2017126.434.57%
Nov 2017138.159.27%
Dec 2017140.341.59%
Jan 2018149.226.33%
Feb 2018141.81-4.97%
Mar 2018143.341.08%
Apr 2018153.867.34%
May 2018167.088.59%
Jun 2018165.24-1.10%
Jul 2018167.921.62%
Aug 2018165.28-1.57%
Sep 2018174.665.68%
Oct 2018179.062.52%
Nov 2018146.29-18.30%
Dec 2018126.08-13.82%
Jan 2019131.424.24%
Feb 2019142.538.45%
Mar 2019148.864.44%
Apr 2019160.457.79%
May 2019157.12-2.08%
Jun 2019139.92-10.95%
Jul 2019144.453.24%
Aug 2019136.17-5.73%
Sep 2019142.334.52%
Oct 2019135.55-4.76%
Nov 2019142.605.20%
Dec 2019149.224.64%
Jan 2020145.14-2.73%
Feb 2020126.53-12.82%
Mar 202076.22-39.76%
Apr 202050.45-33.81%
May 202072.2543.21%
Jun 202092.8328.48%
Jul 202098.085.66%
Aug 202099.851.80%
Sep 202093.32-6.54%
Oct 202091.57-1.88%
Nov 202096.885.80%
Dec 2020110.0713.61%
Jan 2021121.019.94%
Feb 2021136.7713.02%
Mar 2021144.976.00%
Apr 2021143.19-1.23%
May 2021149.014.06%
Jun 2021161.318.25%
Jul 2021164.912.23%
Aug 2021156.10-5.34%
Sep 2021165.155.80%
Oct 2021187.0313.25%
Nov 2021182.05-2.66%
Dec 2021168.08-7.67%
Jan 2022193.1114.89%
Feb 2022212.079.82%
Mar 2022254.4319.97%
Apr 2022244.04-4.08%
May 2022263.127.82%
Jun 2022275.434.68%
Jul 2022250.05-9.21%
Aug 2022233.90-6.46%
Sep 2022219.82-6.02%
Oct 2022227.633.55%
Nov 2022213.71-6.12%
Dec 2022189.30-11.42%
Jan 2023193.772.36%
Feb 2023193.61-0.08%
Mar 2023185.09-4.40%
Apr 2023195.465.60%
May 2023177.50-9.19%
Jun 2023176.76-0.42%
Jul 2023188.456.61%
Aug 2023203.157.80%
Sep 2023223.5410.04%
Oct 2023215.04-3.80%
Nov 2023196.29-8.72%
Dec 2023182.46-7.05%
Jan 2024187.002.49%
Feb 2024195.534.56%
Mar 2024203.994.33%
Apr 2024215.405.59%
May 2024200.77-6.79%
Jun 2024200.57-0.10%
Jul 2024203.321.37%
Aug 2024188.59-7.24%
Sep 2024172.50-8.53%
Oct 2024179.283.93%
Nov 2024176.81-1.38%
Dec 2024177.560.42%
Jan 2025193.268.84%
Feb 2025182.78-5.42%
Mar 2025171.83-5.99%
Apr 2025158.24-7.91%
May 2025150.37-4.97%
Jun 2025163.128.48%
Jul 2025163.670.34%
Aug 2025158.13-3.38%
Sep 2025157.55-0.37%
Oct 2025148.80-5.55%
Nov 2025148.51-0.19%
Dec 2025142.46-4.07%
Jan 2026146.342.72%
Feb 2026157.577.67%
Mar 2026250.6559.07%

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