Commodity Food Price Index Monthly Price - Index Number

Data as of March 2026

Range
Oct 2023 - Mar 2026: -6.002 (-4.90%)
Chart

Description: Commodity Food Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Cereal, Vegetable Oils, Meat, Seafood, Sugar, Bananas, and Oranges Price Indices

Unit: Index Number

Source: International Monetary Fund

See also: Agricultural production statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

The Commodity Food Price Index is a composite measure of prices for internationally traded food commodities, expressed as an index number rather than a physical unit. It is typically constructed from a basket of staple agricultural products such as grains, vegetable oils, dairy products, meat, and sugar, with weights designed to reflect their importance in global trade or consumption. Because it aggregates several markets, the index is used as a broad benchmark for food-cost conditions rather than as a tradable contract in its own right. It is commonly referenced alongside other food and agriculture indicators to track the relative cost of basic food inputs across markets and over time.

The index is most useful for comparing price movements across food groups that share common drivers such as weather, harvest cycles, freight costs, and currency movements. It also serves as a proxy for pressures affecting food importers, food manufacturers, and consumers, especially where staple foods are heavily traded internationally. As a composite measure, it smooths some of the idiosyncratic volatility of individual commodities while still reflecting the underlying supply and demand balance in global food markets.

Supply Drivers

Supply conditions for the Commodity Food Price Index are shaped by the production biology and geography of its component markets. Grains and oilseeds depend on annual planting and harvest cycles, making them sensitive to rainfall, temperature, soil moisture, and the timing of seasonal weather. Sugar and tropical crops are concentrated in warm-climate regions, while dairy and meat supply depend on livestock biology, feed availability, animal disease, and the time required to expand herds or flocks. These production lags mean that supply often adjusts slowly to price signals.

Geographic concentration is another persistent feature. Wheat, maize, rice, soybeans, sugar, and dairy products are produced in a limited number of exporting regions with established transport links, storage systems, and port infrastructure. Bottlenecks in inland logistics, export terminals, or shipping routes can affect the flow of goods into world markets. For perishable products, cold-chain capacity and processing facilities are important constraints. Weather shocks, crop disease, livestock disease, and input costs such as fertilizer and feed can all alter supply conditions, but the effect differs by commodity because each component has its own biological and logistical limits.

Demand Drivers

Demand for the Commodity Food Price Index is driven by the broad consumption of staple foods and food ingredients across households, food processors, and institutional buyers. Grains and vegetable oils are used directly in food consumption and indirectly as inputs into processed foods, animal feed, and industrial food manufacturing. Meat and dairy demand reflects income levels, dietary preferences, and urbanization, while sugar demand is tied to beverage, confectionery, and processed-food consumption. Because food is a necessity, aggregate demand is less sensitive to price changes than demand for discretionary goods, although consumers and processors do substitute among products when relative prices shift.

Seasonality also matters. Consumption patterns can rise around holidays, harvest periods, or weather-related changes in diet and storage behavior, while feed demand follows livestock production cycles. In many economies, rising incomes tend to shift diets toward more animal protein, dairy, and processed foods, increasing demand for feed grains and oilseeds as well as direct food commodities. Regulatory and technological factors also shape long-run demand, including biofuel use for certain crops, food fortification practices, and changes in processing technology that alter ingredient demand across the food chain.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Because the index is built from internationally traded commodities, it is sensitive to the U.S. dollar exchange rate: a stronger dollar tends to make dollar-priced food commodities more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter through inventory financing and storage costs, since holding physical stocks ties up capital and incurs warehousing, spoilage, and insurance expenses. When financing costs rise, the forward curve can shift as market participants reduce inventories or demand a larger carry to store goods.

The index also reflects broader inflation conditions because food commodities are part of the consumer price chain and are often used as a reference point in inflation-sensitive markets. However, it is not a pure financial asset; its price behavior is anchored in physical supply chains, harvest timing, and perishability. Correlations with energy markets can appear through fertilizer, transport, and processing costs, while correlations with risk assets are usually indirect and mediated by macroeconomic expectations rather than by direct financial linkage.

MonthPriceChange
Oct 2023122.57-
Nov 2023123.670.90%
Dec 2023120.01-2.97%
Jan 2024118.38-1.36%
Feb 2024116.91-1.23%
Mar 2024117.620.60%
Apr 2024116.65-0.83%
May 2024118.111.25%
Jun 2024115.12-2.53%
Jul 2024113.87-1.08%
Aug 2024111.25-2.31%
Sep 2024114.743.14%
Oct 2024116.341.39%
Nov 2024116.16-0.15%
Dec 2024115.05-0.96%
Jan 2025114.40-0.56%
Feb 2025113.82-0.51%
Mar 2025110.86-2.60%
Apr 2025110.33-0.48%
May 2025108.30-1.84%
Jun 2025106.74-1.44%
Jul 2025107.821.01%
Aug 2025106.78-0.96%
Sep 2025107.160.35%
Oct 2025106.30-0.80%
Nov 2025108.972.51%
Dec 2025109.440.43%
Jan 2026110.971.39%
Feb 2026113.462.25%
Mar 2026116.572.74%

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