Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - US Dollars per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Jul 2014 - Mar 2026: -13.880 (-13.12%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: US Dollars per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Jul 2014105.76-
Aug 2014101.85-3.70%
Sep 201496.99-4.77%
Oct 201486.57-10.74%
Nov 201476.73-11.37%
Dec 201460.52-21.13%
Jan 201545.98-24.03%
Feb 201555.8321.42%
Mar 201554.91-1.65%
Apr 201558.807.08%
May 201563.698.32%
Jun 201561.78-3.00%
Jul 201556.25-8.95%
Aug 201547.22-16.05%
Sep 201546.15-2.27%
Oct 201546.550.87%
Nov 201542.22-9.30%
Dec 201534.77-17.65%
Jan 201627.00-22.35%
Feb 201629.509.26%
Mar 201635.1819.25%
Apr 201639.0410.97%
May 201643.9512.58%
Jun 201645.834.28%
Jul 201642.62-7.00%
Aug 201643.742.63%
Sep 201643.740.00%
Oct 201648.2610.33%
Nov 201643.77-9.30%
Dec 201651.7818.30%
Jan 201753.373.07%
Feb 201754.171.50%
Mar 201751.16-5.56%
Apr 201752.452.52%
May 201750.31-4.08%
Jun 201746.44-7.69%
Jul 201747.632.56%
Aug 201750.435.88%
Sep 201753.866.80%
Oct 201755.583.19%
Nov 201760.589.00%
Dec 201761.411.37%
Jan 201866.027.51%
Feb 201862.79-4.89%
Mar 201863.290.80%
Apr 201868.438.12%
May 201873.667.64%
Jun 201873.22-0.60%
Jul 201872.72-0.68%
Aug 201872.13-0.81%
Sep 201877.026.78%
Oct 201878.962.52%
Nov 201865.11-17.54%
Dec 201856.47-13.27%
Jan 201958.964.41%
Feb 201964.329.09%
Mar 201966.803.86%
Apr 201970.665.78%
May 201969.13-2.17%
Jun 201961.30-11.33%
Jul 201962.912.63%
Aug 201958.92-6.34%
Sep 201960.843.26%
Oct 201958.47-3.90%
Nov 201961.415.03%
Dec 201964.414.89%
Jan 202063.76-1.01%
Feb 202054.51-14.51%
Mar 202033.75-38.08%
Apr 202023.27-31.05%
May 202031.5635.63%
Jun 202040.1427.19%
Jul 202042.646.23%
Aug 202043.712.51%
Sep 202041.10-5.97%
Oct 202039.70-3.41%
Nov 202042.587.25%
Dec 202049.2615.69%
Jan 202154.169.95%
Feb 202160.3711.47%
Mar 202163.955.93%
Apr 202162.37-2.47%
May 202165.985.79%
Jun 202170.967.55%
Jul 202173.002.87%
Aug 202168.85-5.68%
Sep 202172.244.92%
Oct 202181.2212.43%
Nov 202179.80-1.75%
Dec 202172.76-8.82%
Jan 202283.1114.22%
Feb 202293.1312.06%
Mar 2022113.1121.45%
Apr 2022102.68-9.22%
May 2022108.325.49%
Jun 2022115.736.84%
Jul 2022106.48-7.99%
Aug 202297.75-8.20%
Sep 202290.63-7.28%
Oct 202290.59-0.04%
Nov 202286.28-4.76%
Dec 202276.78-11.01%
Jan 202380.034.23%
Feb 202381.211.47%
Mar 202377.52-4.54%
Apr 202383.838.14%
May 202375.08-10.44%
Jun 202374.67-0.55%
Jul 202380.467.75%
Aug 202386.617.64%
Sep 202393.087.47%
Oct 202390.62-2.64%
Nov 202383.45-7.91%
Dec 202377.22-7.47%
Jan 202478.862.12%
Feb 202481.182.94%
Mar 202484.704.34%
Apr 202489.395.54%
May 202483.53-6.56%
Jun 202482.17-1.63%
Jul 202483.942.15%
Aug 202477.95-7.14%
Sep 202473.43-5.80%
Oct 202474.651.66%
Nov 202472.79-2.49%
Dec 202473.310.71%
Jan 202580.149.32%
Feb 202574.97-6.45%
Mar 202571.71-4.35%
Apr 202566.89-6.72%
May 202563.01-5.80%
Jun 202568.508.71%
Jul 202569.231.07%
Aug 202567.87-1.96%
Sep 202567.75-0.18%
Oct 202564.30-5.09%
Nov 202563.83-0.73%
Dec 202561.98-2.90%
Jan 202663.913.11%
Feb 202668.366.96%
Mar 202691.8834.41%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

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