Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - Rand per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Dec 2017 - Jun 2025: 407.476 (50.08%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: Rand per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Dec 2017813.59-
Jan 2018806.65-0.85%
Feb 2018743.39-7.84%
Mar 2018748.520.69%
Apr 2018828.8010.72%
May 2018923.8411.47%
Jun 2018973.725.40%
Jul 2018972.63-0.11%
Aug 20181,016.544.51%
Sep 20181,139.6012.11%
Oct 20181,143.720.36%
Nov 2018919.87-19.57%
Dec 2018801.58-12.86%
Jan 2019817.041.93%
Feb 2019888.038.69%
Mar 2019961.018.22%
Apr 2019999.484.00%
May 2019997.48-0.20%
Jun 2019893.01-10.47%
Jul 2019882.13-1.22%
Aug 2019893.011.23%
Sep 2019902.041.01%
Oct 2019871.99-3.33%
Nov 2019909.084.25%
Dec 2019932.402.56%
Jan 2020918.46-1.50%
Feb 2020816.45-11.11%
Mar 2020560.10-31.40%
Apr 2020428.01-23.58%
May 2020572.3133.71%
Jun 2020687.5320.13%
Jul 2020714.783.96%
Aug 2020752.105.22%
Sep 2020686.42-8.73%
Oct 2020653.07-4.86%
Nov 2020663.031.53%
Dec 2020741.4711.83%
Jan 2021818.7110.42%
Feb 2021892.969.07%
Mar 2021958.877.38%
Apr 2021898.36-6.31%
May 2021929.463.46%
Jun 2021987.616.26%
Jul 20211,063.897.72%
Aug 20211,020.46-4.08%
Sep 20211,052.263.12%
Oct 20211,205.9114.60%
Nov 20211,235.352.44%
Dec 20211,153.19-6.65%
Jan 20221,288.1911.71%
Feb 20221,418.2710.10%
Mar 20221,696.5919.62%
Apr 20221,544.74-8.95%
May 20221,721.1811.42%
Jun 20221,827.056.15%
Jul 20221,793.70-1.83%
Aug 20221,632.52-8.99%
Sep 20221,587.20-2.78%
Oct 20221,641.933.45%
Nov 20221,516.43-7.64%
Dec 20221,330.15-12.28%
Jan 20231,367.932.84%
Feb 20231,452.666.19%
Mar 20231,418.08-2.38%
Apr 20231,523.857.46%
May 20231,429.14-6.22%
Jun 20231,403.42-1.80%
Jul 20231,459.684.01%
Aug 20231,624.5911.30%
Sep 20231,767.328.79%
Oct 20231,725.23-2.38%
Nov 20231,543.41-10.54%
Dec 20231,444.66-6.40%
Jan 20241,482.532.62%
Feb 20241,542.454.04%
Mar 20241,598.343.62%
Apr 20241,687.345.57%
May 20241,538.87-8.80%
Jun 20241,515.82-1.50%
Jul 20241,532.441.10%
Aug 20241,405.57-8.28%
Sep 20241,293.66-7.96%
Oct 20241,310.651.31%
Nov 20241,304.93-0.44%
Dec 20241,322.761.37%
Jan 20251,500.0013.40%
Feb 20251,387.06-7.53%
Mar 20251,311.19-5.47%
Apr 20251,263.17-3.66%
May 20251,141.39-9.64%
Jun 20251,221.076.98%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

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