Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - Singapore Dollar per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Mar 2021 - Mar 2026: 31.695 (36.92%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: Singapore Dollar per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Mar 202185.85-
Apr 202183.21-3.07%
May 202187.835.56%
Jun 202194.597.69%
Jul 202198.914.57%
Aug 202193.30-5.67%
Sep 202197.424.42%
Oct 2021109.7212.63%
Nov 2021108.22-1.37%
Dec 202199.39-8.16%
Jan 2022112.2612.95%
Feb 2022125.4011.71%
Mar 2022153.7622.61%
Apr 2022140.22-8.80%
May 2022149.736.78%
Jun 2022160.136.95%
Jul 2022148.47-7.28%
Aug 2022135.32-8.86%
Sep 2022128.15-5.29%
Oct 2022129.070.71%
Nov 2022119.84-7.15%
Dec 2022103.89-13.31%
Jan 2023106.152.17%
Feb 2023108.061.80%
Mar 2023103.99-3.77%
Apr 2023111.667.38%
May 2023100.51-9.98%
Jun 2023100.550.04%
Jul 2023107.256.66%
Aug 2023116.979.06%
Sep 2023126.998.57%
Oct 2023124.07-2.30%
Nov 2023112.62-9.23%
Dec 2023103.12-8.43%
Jan 2024105.342.14%
Feb 2024109.153.62%
Mar 2024113.513.99%
Apr 2024121.306.86%
May 2024112.87-6.95%
Jun 2024111.07-1.60%
Jul 2024113.021.76%
Aug 2024102.57-9.24%
Sep 202495.22-7.17%
Oct 202497.732.63%
Nov 202497.30-0.44%
Dec 202498.801.54%
Jan 2025109.1610.49%
Feb 2025101.01-7.47%
Mar 202595.82-5.13%
Apr 202588.61-7.53%
May 202581.57-7.95%
Jun 202587.977.85%
Jul 202588.700.83%
Aug 202587.25-1.63%
Sep 202587.04-0.24%
Oct 202583.26-4.35%
Nov 202583.23-0.04%
Dec 202580.05-3.81%
Jan 202682.142.61%
Feb 202686.655.49%
Mar 2026117.5435.66%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

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