Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - New Zealand Dollar per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Apr 2021 - Mar 2026: 69.350 (79.22%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: New Zealand Dollar per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Apr 202187.54-
May 202191.434.44%
Jun 202199.779.13%
Jul 2021104.564.80%
Aug 202198.87-5.44%
Sep 2021102.523.69%
Oct 2021115.3112.48%
Nov 2021113.34-1.71%
Dec 2021107.38-5.26%
Jan 2022123.3114.84%
Feb 2022139.6913.28%
Mar 2022164.9118.06%
Apr 2022151.45-8.16%
May 2022169.3711.83%
Jun 2022181.897.39%
Jul 2022171.67-5.62%
Aug 2022156.07-9.09%
Sep 2022152.55-2.26%
Oct 2022159.434.51%
Nov 2022143.20-10.18%
Dec 2022120.75-15.67%
Jan 2023125.023.53%
Feb 2023128.893.10%
Mar 2023125.02-3.00%
Apr 2023134.947.93%
May 2023120.65-10.59%
Jun 2023121.830.98%
Jul 2023129.166.02%
Aug 2023144.3611.77%
Sep 2023157.128.84%
Oct 2023153.47-2.33%
Nov 2023139.67-8.99%
Dec 2023124.71-10.71%
Jan 2024127.832.50%
Feb 2024132.493.65%
Mar 2024139.125.00%
Apr 2024149.927.76%
May 2024137.94-7.99%
Jun 2024133.79-3.01%
Jul 2024139.344.14%
Aug 2024128.25-7.96%
Sep 2024118.09-7.92%
Oct 2024122.483.72%
Nov 2024123.100.50%
Dec 2024126.652.89%
Jan 2025142.2412.31%
Feb 2025132.08-7.14%
Mar 2025125.29-5.14%
Apr 2025115.29-7.98%
May 2025106.23-7.86%
Jun 2025113.626.96%
Jul 2025115.401.56%
Aug 2025115.01-0.34%
Sep 2025115.030.02%
Oct 2025111.51-3.06%
Nov 2025113.081.40%
Dec 2025107.26-5.14%
Jan 2026110.813.31%
Feb 2026113.692.59%
Mar 2026156.8938.00%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

Commodities Market

  • Buyers: Request price quotes
  • Sellers: List your products
Sign up to get an email when we update our commodities data

 


Your email will never be shared, sold, nor rented. We hate SPAM as much you do.
Coming Soon