Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - Norwegian Krone per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Mar 2016 - Mar 2026: 588.551 (196.69%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: Norwegian Krone per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Mar 2016299.23-
Apr 2016320.967.26%
May 2016361.7612.71%
Jun 2016380.605.21%
Jul 2016361.10-5.12%
Aug 2016362.960.51%
Sep 2016358.94-1.11%
Oct 2016393.939.75%
Nov 2016367.41-6.73%
Dec 2016443.3420.67%
Jan 2017452.902.16%
Feb 2017450.82-0.46%
Mar 2017434.93-3.52%
Apr 2017450.043.47%
May 2017428.68-4.75%
Jun 2017393.08-8.31%
Jul 2017388.59-1.14%
Aug 2017398.222.48%
Sep 2017421.735.90%
Oct 2017443.835.24%
Nov 2017496.1711.79%
Dec 2017510.602.91%
Jan 2018523.042.44%
Feb 2018491.98-5.94%
Mar 2018491.58-0.08%
Apr 2018536.299.09%
May 2018596.4011.21%
Jun 2018594.06-0.39%
Jul 2018591.10-0.50%
Aug 2018600.631.61%
Sep 2018635.175.75%
Oct 2018651.702.60%
Nov 2018550.88-15.47%
Dec 2018485.98-11.78%
Jan 2019504.163.74%
Feb 2019552.109.51%
Mar 2019574.374.03%
Apr 2019605.205.37%
May 2019604.39-0.13%
Jun 2019528.98-12.48%
Jul 2019541.582.38%
Aug 2019528.20-2.47%
Sep 2019548.253.80%
Oct 2019535.20-2.38%
Nov 2019561.454.91%
Dec 2019583.333.90%
Jan 2020571.02-2.11%
Feb 2020506.59-11.28%
Mar 2020344.93-31.91%
Apr 2020243.23-29.49%
May 2020318.4730.94%
Jun 2020382.4620.09%
Jul 2020395.343.37%
Aug 2020390.99-1.10%
Sep 2020376.56-3.69%
Oct 2020368.49-2.14%
Nov 2020387.475.15%
Dec 2020430.7411.17%
Jan 2021461.307.10%
Feb 2021512.9111.19%
Mar 2021545.346.32%
Apr 2021522.12-4.26%
May 2021547.304.82%
Jun 2021597.629.20%
Jul 2021642.097.44%
Aug 2021609.53-5.07%
Sep 2021625.032.54%
Oct 2021687.239.95%
Nov 2021694.951.12%
Dec 2021655.21-5.72%
Jan 2022735.5612.26%
Feb 2022825.5712.24%
Mar 20221,002.1521.39%
Apr 2022914.93-8.70%
May 20221,039.1713.58%
Jun 20221,126.738.43%
Jul 20221,066.81-5.32%
Aug 2022948.84-11.06%
Sep 2022932.27-1.75%
Oct 2022958.452.81%
Nov 2022876.27-8.57%
Dec 2022757.65-13.54%
Jan 2023796.555.13%
Feb 2023830.004.20%
Mar 2023817.49-1.51%
Apr 2023880.757.74%
May 2023809.09-8.14%
Jun 2023808.16-0.12%
Jul 2023822.301.75%
Aug 2023906.1910.20%
Sep 2023998.1110.14%
Oct 2023998.080.00%
Nov 2023913.52-8.47%
Dec 2023823.84-9.82%
Jan 2024821.06-0.34%
Feb 2024856.384.30%
Mar 2024896.614.70%
Apr 2024973.608.59%
May 2024889.24-8.66%
Jun 2024873.18-1.81%
Jul 2024908.774.08%
Aug 2024834.64-8.16%
Sep 2024779.50-6.61%
Oct 2024806.253.43%
Nov 2024804.10-0.27%
Dec 2024818.921.84%
Jan 2025908.6610.96%
Feb 2025839.42-7.62%
Mar 2025766.35-8.71%
Apr 2025706.31-7.83%
May 2025649.33-8.07%
Jun 2025689.006.11%
Jul 2025703.082.04%
Aug 2025691.54-1.64%
Sep 2025673.66-2.58%
Oct 2025644.63-4.31%
Nov 2025648.400.58%
Dec 2025626.69-3.35%
Jan 2026642.742.56%
Feb 2026654.891.89%
Mar 2026887.7835.56%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

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