Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - Kuwaiti Dinar per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Jun 2020 - Mar 2026: 15.803 (127.93%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: Kuwaiti Dinar per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Jun 202012.35-
Jul 202013.095.97%
Aug 202013.362.07%
Sep 202012.57-5.93%
Oct 202012.14-3.40%
Nov 202013.017.16%
Dec 202014.9915.17%
Jan 202116.419.51%
Feb 202118.2611.26%
Mar 202119.325.81%
Apr 202118.80-2.68%
May 202119.865.61%
Jun 202121.357.54%
Jul 202121.962.83%
Aug 202120.71-5.69%
Sep 202121.744.99%
Oct 202124.5012.69%
Nov 202124.11-1.57%
Dec 202122.02-8.69%
Jan 202225.1414.18%
Feb 202228.1612.04%
Mar 202234.3722.05%
Apr 202231.35-8.80%
May 202233.195.87%
Jun 202235.456.82%
Jul 202232.72-7.73%
Aug 202230.01-8.25%
Sep 202228.00-6.72%
Oct 202228.070.25%
Nov 202226.62-5.17%
Dec 202223.54-11.58%
Jan 202324.453.90%
Feb 202324.841.58%
Mar 202323.76-4.34%
Apr 202325.678.03%
May 202323.03-10.28%
Jun 202322.93-0.43%
Jul 202324.677.58%
Aug 202326.648.00%
Sep 202328.727.81%
Oct 202327.99-2.54%
Nov 202325.74-8.05%
Dec 202323.78-7.62%
Jan 202424.241.94%
Feb 202424.983.05%
Mar 202426.024.16%
Apr 202427.515.73%
May 202425.65-6.75%
Jun 202425.18-1.84%
Jul 202425.671.94%
Aug 202423.80-7.30%
Sep 202422.39-5.90%
Oct 202422.842.02%
Nov 202422.36-2.13%
Dec 202422.540.81%
Jan 202524.729.66%
Feb 202523.14-6.36%
Mar 202522.10-4.49%
Apr 202520.53-7.13%
May 202519.33-5.82%
Jun 202520.978.46%
Jul 202521.130.75%
Aug 202520.73-1.87%
Sep 202520.65-0.36%
Oct 202519.63-4.95%
Nov 202519.53-0.51%
Dec 202518.94-3.04%
Jan 202619.533.15%
Feb 202620.876.85%
Mar 202628.1634.89%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

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