Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - Yen per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026: 4,932.901 (51.15%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: Yen per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Apr 20119,643.25-
May 20118,813.16-8.61%
Jun 20118,656.63-1.78%
Jul 20118,732.120.87%
Aug 20118,112.83-7.09%
Sep 20118,145.150.40%
Oct 20117,958.95-2.29%
Nov 20118,424.355.85%
Dec 20118,270.14-1.83%
Jan 20128,450.682.18%
Feb 20129,105.237.75%
Mar 201210,080.1210.71%
Apr 20129,554.64-5.21%
May 20128,533.54-10.69%
Jun 20127,475.25-12.40%
Jul 20127,836.694.84%
Aug 20128,524.908.78%
Sep 20128,673.501.74%
Oct 20128,586.26-1.01%
Nov 20128,655.250.80%
Dec 20128,833.342.06%
Jan 20139,591.838.59%
Feb 201310,349.827.90%
Mar 20139,992.60-3.45%
Apr 20139,933.15-0.59%
May 201310,139.542.08%
Jun 20139,775.05-3.59%
Jul 201310,304.755.42%
Aug 201310,468.171.59%
Sep 201310,761.832.81%
Oct 201310,401.60-3.35%
Nov 201310,562.591.55%
Dec 201311,160.185.66%
Jan 201410,810.28-3.14%
Feb 201410,720.26-0.83%
Mar 201410,651.68-0.64%
Apr 201410,741.510.84%
May 201410,748.190.06%
Jun 201411,022.682.55%
Jul 201410,756.66-2.41%
Aug 201410,486.18-2.51%
Sep 201410,401.62-0.81%
Oct 20149,354.87-10.06%
Nov 20148,901.98-4.84%
Dec 20147,220.80-18.89%
Jan 20155,439.79-24.66%
Feb 20156,619.3921.68%
Mar 20156,610.44-0.14%
Apr 20157,029.516.34%
May 20157,686.719.35%
Jun 20157,645.30-0.54%
Jul 20156,932.44-9.32%
Aug 20155,819.10-16.06%
Sep 20155,551.15-4.60%
Oct 20155,588.880.68%
Nov 20155,173.34-7.44%
Dec 20154,239.30-18.05%
Jan 20163,194.27-24.65%
Feb 20163,395.256.29%
Mar 20163,977.8217.16%
Apr 20164,293.047.92%
May 20164,793.2911.65%
Jun 20164,834.690.86%
Jul 20164,431.25-8.34%
Aug 20164,429.51-0.04%
Sep 20164,459.040.67%
Oct 20165,010.2312.36%
Nov 20164,710.72-5.98%
Dec 20166,001.2827.40%
Jan 20176,124.212.05%
Feb 20176,125.090.01%
Mar 20175,781.82-5.60%
Apr 20175,772.75-0.16%
May 20175,647.67-2.17%
Jun 20175,150.47-8.80%
Jul 20175,353.313.94%
Aug 20175,542.993.54%
Sep 20175,963.557.59%
Oct 20176,278.135.28%
Nov 20176,845.229.03%
Dec 20176,936.231.33%
Jan 20187,313.335.44%
Feb 20186,775.08-7.36%
Mar 20186,708.77-0.98%
Apr 20187,357.699.67%
May 20188,080.619.83%
Jun 20188,056.05-0.30%
Jul 20188,102.350.57%
Aug 20188,010.63-1.13%
Sep 20188,622.127.63%
Oct 20188,904.713.28%
Nov 20187,382.40-17.10%
Dec 20186,356.99-13.89%
Jan 20196,421.991.02%
Feb 20197,097.5710.52%
Mar 20197,428.564.66%
Apr 20197,890.176.21%
May 20197,594.16-3.75%
Jun 20196,623.89-12.78%
Jul 20196,809.412.80%
Aug 20196,261.60-8.04%
Sep 20196,539.224.43%
Oct 20196,321.97-3.32%
Nov 20196,681.005.68%
Dec 20197,030.665.23%
Jan 20206,968.00-0.89%
Feb 20205,994.66-13.97%
Mar 20203,621.13-39.59%
Apr 20202,511.53-30.64%
May 20203,386.1334.82%
Jun 20204,317.2627.50%
Jul 20204,549.585.38%
Aug 20204,635.071.88%
Sep 20204,343.88-6.28%
Oct 20204,177.33-3.83%
Nov 20204,446.486.44%
Dec 20205,117.5615.09%
Jan 20215,616.189.74%
Feb 20216,361.4413.27%
Mar 20216,948.149.22%
Apr 20216,806.71-2.04%
May 20217,199.085.76%
Jun 20217,813.128.53%
Jul 20218,042.132.93%
Aug 20217,562.19-5.97%
Sep 20217,962.215.29%
Oct 20219,188.1815.40%
Nov 20219,098.62-0.97%
Dec 20218,266.73-9.14%
Jan 20229,545.5115.47%
Feb 202210,729.5112.40%
Mar 202213,404.6124.93%
Apr 202212,960.76-3.31%
May 202213,960.107.71%
Jun 202215,484.1810.92%
Jul 202214,557.55-5.98%
Aug 202213,219.93-9.19%
Sep 202212,986.37-1.77%
Oct 202213,318.042.55%
Nov 202212,322.51-7.48%
Dec 202210,397.73-15.62%
Jan 202310,431.470.32%
Feb 202310,767.323.22%
Mar 202310,376.09-3.63%
Apr 202311,177.397.72%
May 202310,300.54-7.84%
Jun 202310,540.312.33%
Jul 202311,332.127.51%
Aug 202312,538.7310.65%
Sep 202313,752.729.68%
Oct 202313,550.11-1.47%
Nov 202312,505.62-7.71%
Dec 202311,173.25-10.65%
Jan 202411,564.913.51%
Feb 202412,131.584.90%
Mar 202412,673.244.46%
Apr 202413,715.418.22%
May 202413,039.28-4.93%
Jun 202412,968.16-0.55%
Jul 202413,240.912.10%
Aug 202411,398.85-13.91%
Sep 202410,516.69-7.74%
Oct 202411,169.616.21%
Nov 202411,212.250.38%
Dec 202411,181.06-0.28%
Jan 202512,534.6012.11%
Feb 202511,392.88-9.11%
Mar 202510,697.34-6.11%
Apr 20259,658.06-9.72%
May 20259,128.82-5.48%
Jun 20259,895.378.40%
Jul 202510,163.722.71%
Aug 202510,022.33-1.39%
Sep 202510,025.110.03%
Oct 20259,727.16-2.97%
Nov 20259,893.931.71%
Dec 20259,659.09-2.37%
Jan 202610,079.484.35%
Feb 202610,608.435.25%
Mar 202614,576.1537.40%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

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