Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - Forint per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Apr 2011 - Jan 2019: -4,666.240 (-21.97%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: Forint per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Apr 201121,240.03-
May 201120,150.63-5.13%
Jun 201119,924.94-1.12%
Jul 201120,636.213.57%
Aug 201119,930.11-3.42%
Sep 201121,963.1510.20%
Oct 201122,451.322.22%
Nov 201124,751.8910.25%
Dec 201124,524.17-0.92%
Jan 201226,066.666.29%
Feb 201225,512.52-2.13%
Mar 201227,018.805.90%
Apr 201226,345.27-2.49%
May 201224,487.47-7.05%
Jun 201222,088.60-9.80%
Jul 201223,138.534.75%
Aug 201224,358.965.27%
Sep 201224,489.630.54%
Oct 201223,639.47-3.47%
Nov 201223,663.320.10%
Dec 201222,990.44-2.84%
Jan 201323,776.633.42%
Feb 201324,293.962.18%
Mar 201324,662.071.52%
Apr 201323,334.12-5.38%
May 201322,611.23-3.10%
Jun 201322,497.45-0.50%
Jul 201323,279.773.48%
Aug 201324,054.883.33%
Sep 201324,358.201.26%
Oct 201322,989.75-5.62%
Nov 201323,361.391.62%
Dec 201323,713.801.51%
Jan 201423,073.94-2.70%
Feb 201423,839.863.32%
Mar 201423,487.56-1.48%
Apr 201423,303.27-0.78%
May 201423,399.570.41%
Jun 201424,310.173.89%
Jul 201424,188.27-0.50%
Aug 201423,998.41-0.78%
Sep 201423,546.86-1.88%
Oct 201421,019.67-10.73%
Nov 201418,884.74-10.16%
Dec 201415,226.77-19.37%
Jan 201512,533.23-17.69%
Feb 201515,094.7320.44%
Mar 201515,383.361.91%
Apr 201516,348.586.27%
May 201517,472.816.88%
Jun 201517,197.59-1.58%
Jul 201515,922.61-7.41%
Aug 201513,211.63-17.03%
Sep 201512,852.36-2.72%
Oct 201512,898.890.36%
Nov 201512,263.51-4.93%
Dec 201510,048.33-18.06%
Jan 20167,823.45-22.14%
Feb 20168,250.595.46%
Mar 20169,867.3619.60%
Apr 201610,725.878.70%
May 201612,211.1313.85%
Jun 201612,792.244.76%
Jul 201612,112.60-5.31%
Aug 201612,109.68-0.02%
Sep 201612,041.25-0.57%
Oct 201613,437.3911.59%
Nov 201612,492.51-7.03%
Dec 201615,315.1022.59%
Jan 201715,523.951.36%
Feb 201715,703.071.15%
Mar 201714,822.18-5.61%
Apr 201715,233.372.77%
May 201714,124.10-7.28%
Jun 201712,757.28-9.68%
Jul 201712,692.57-0.51%
Aug 201712,989.852.34%
Sep 201713,941.557.33%
Oct 201714,637.874.99%
Nov 201716,103.5010.01%
Dec 201716,255.840.95%
Jan 201816,761.693.11%
Feb 201815,839.67-5.50%
Mar 201816,030.721.21%
Apr 201817,370.798.36%
May 201819,704.3813.43%
Jun 201820,234.872.69%
Jul 201820,208.27-0.13%
Aug 201820,167.12-0.20%
Sep 201821,440.916.32%
Oct 201822,266.053.85%
Nov 201818,488.60-16.97%
Dec 201816,016.16-13.37%
Jan 201916,573.793.48%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

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