Crude Oil (petroleum); Dubai Fateh Monthly Price - Danish Krone per Barrel

Data as of March 2026

Range
Apr 2016 - Mar 2026: 337.432 (131.72%)
Chart

Description: Crude oil, Dubai Fateh 32° API for years 1985-present; 1960-84 refer to Saudi Arabian Light, 34° API.

Unit: Danish Krone per Barrel



Source: Bloomberg; Energy Intelligence Group (EIG); Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); World Bank.

See also: Energy production and consumption statistics

See also: Top commodity suppliers

See also: Commodities glossary - Definitions of terms used in commodity trading

Overview

Crude oil is a liquid hydrocarbon mixture refined into transportation fuels, heating fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, and many industrial products. On commodity markets, it is typically priced per barrel, with one barrel equal to 42 U.S. gallons. Dubai Fateh is a widely used benchmark for medium-sour crude in Asia and the Middle East, and it is commonly referenced in spot pricing and term contracts. As a benchmark, it helps price physical cargoes that are delivered into refining systems designed to process heavier, higher-sulfur grades.

Crude oil is not a uniform product: density, sulfur content, and distillation yield determine its value to refiners. Medium-sour grades such as Dubai Fateh often trade relative to sweeter, lighter crudes because they require different refining configurations and produce different output slates. The benchmark is especially relevant for pricing exports from the Persian Gulf and for comparing regional crude streams in Asia, where refinery demand is closely linked to shipping access and refinery complexity.

Supply Drivers

Crude oil supply is shaped by geology, reservoir decline, and the economics of extraction. Production is concentrated in regions with large sedimentary basins, including the Middle East, North America, Russia, and parts of Latin America and Africa. Fields differ in depth, pressure, sulfur content, and recovery characteristics, which affects lifting costs and the type of refining system they serve. Many reservoirs exhibit natural decline after peak output, so maintaining supply requires ongoing drilling, enhanced recovery, or new field development.

Supply is also sensitive to infrastructure and transport constraints. Pipelines, export terminals, tanker availability, and port capacity influence whether crude reaches benchmark markets efficiently. For Dubai-linked pricing, Persian Gulf production and export logistics matter because the benchmark reflects cargoes moving through a major seaborne trading hub. Weather can disrupt offshore production and shipping, while maintenance outages and unplanned field interruptions can tighten prompt availability.

Unlike agricultural commodities, crude oil supply does not follow a harvest cycle, but it does respond with long lags to investment decisions. Exploration, appraisal, field development, and refinery-compatible output adjustments take time, so supply tends to be relatively inelastic in the short run. Geological constraints, water cut, reservoir pressure decline, and the need for specialized equipment all make output changes gradual rather than immediate.

Demand Drivers

Crude oil demand is driven primarily by transportation, petrochemicals, industrial heat, and power generation in some regions. Gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, marine fuel, and naphtha are the main downstream products, so refinery demand depends on the structure of the transportation fleet, freight activity, aviation, and chemical manufacturing. Because many end uses have few near-term substitutes, demand can be relatively stable in the short run, though efficiency gains and fuel switching affect longer-term consumption patterns.

Seasonality matters through refinery runs and product demand. Heating needs, summer driving, and aviation activity can alter crude intake indirectly through product inventories and refinery margins. In Asia and the Middle East, refinery configurations often favor medium-sour crude because complex refineries can process heavier, higher-sulfur barrels into a broad product slate. This creates a structural link between Dubai Fateh and the economics of complex refining systems.

Substitution is important. Refiners can switch among crude grades within technical limits, and crude competes indirectly with natural gas, coal, biofuels, and electricity in some end uses. Petrochemical demand links crude to naphtha and other feedstocks, while transportation demand links it to vehicle efficiency standards and fleet composition. Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization support long-run demand, but the pace of change depends on technology, infrastructure, and fuel economics.

Macro and Financial Drivers

Crude oil is priced globally in U.S. dollars, so exchange-rate movements affect local-currency costs and cross-border purchasing power. A stronger dollar tends to make oil more expensive for non-dollar buyers, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Interest rates matter because crude and refined products are storable; higher financing costs raise the cost of holding inventories and can influence forward curves.

Storage economics help determine whether the market is in contango or backwardation. When prompt supply is abundant relative to near-term demand, storage can become attractive and deferred prices may exceed nearby prices. When prompt barrels are scarce, nearby prices can trade at a premium. Crude also has a partial inflation link because it is a key input into transport and manufacturing, but it is more directly driven by physical balances than by financial flows alone.

MonthPriceChange
Apr 2016256.17-
May 2016289.1912.89%
Jun 2016303.404.91%
Jul 2016286.54-5.56%
Aug 2016290.201.28%
Sep 2016290.410.07%
Oct 2016325.7712.18%
Nov 2016301.05-7.59%
Dec 2016365.2721.33%
Jan 2017373.892.36%
Feb 2017378.311.18%
Mar 2017355.99-5.90%
Apr 2017363.662.16%
May 2017338.97-6.79%
Jun 2017307.87-9.17%
Jul 2017307.62-0.08%
Aug 2017317.733.29%
Sep 2017336.345.86%
Oct 2017351.714.57%
Nov 2017384.529.33%
Dec 2017386.190.43%
Jan 2018403.554.49%
Feb 2018378.74-6.15%
Mar 2018382.060.88%
Apr 2018414.808.57%
May 2018464.4411.97%
Jun 2018467.100.57%
Jul 2018463.68-0.73%
Aug 2018465.700.44%
Sep 2018492.645.78%
Oct 2018512.924.12%
Nov 2018427.43-16.67%
Dec 2018370.43-13.33%
Jan 2019385.494.06%
Feb 2019422.839.69%
Mar 2019441.064.31%
Apr 2019469.396.42%
May 2019461.38-1.71%
Jun 2019405.25-12.17%
Jul 2019418.753.33%
Aug 2019394.99-5.67%
Sep 2019412.614.46%
Oct 2019395.29-4.20%
Nov 2019415.004.99%
Dec 2019433.254.40%
Jan 2020429.22-0.93%
Feb 2020373.37-13.01%
Mar 2020227.97-38.94%
Apr 2020159.83-29.89%
May 2020215.9735.13%
Jun 2020265.8123.07%
Jul 2020276.363.97%
Aug 2020275.17-0.43%
Sep 2020259.48-5.70%
Oct 2020250.95-3.29%
Nov 2020268.036.81%
Dec 2020301.7912.60%
Jan 2021330.889.64%
Feb 2021370.9712.12%
Mar 2021399.677.74%
Apr 2021386.74-3.24%
May 2021404.034.47%
Jun 2021438.078.42%
Jul 2021459.464.88%
Aug 2021434.97-5.33%
Sep 2021457.015.07%
Oct 2021520.7813.95%
Nov 2021519.33-0.28%
Dec 2021478.75-7.81%
Jan 2022546.8214.22%
Feb 2022610.8411.71%
Mar 2022763.7925.04%
Apr 2022706.83-7.46%
May 2022762.957.94%
Jun 2022813.806.67%
Jul 2022779.27-4.24%
Aug 2022718.07-7.85%
Sep 2022680.77-5.19%
Oct 2022685.740.73%
Nov 2022630.65-8.03%
Dec 2022540.17-14.35%
Jan 2023552.742.33%
Feb 2023564.182.07%
Mar 2023539.56-4.36%
Apr 2023569.425.53%
May 2023514.33-9.67%
Jun 2023512.68-0.32%
Jul 2023541.385.60%
Aug 2023591.689.29%
Sep 2023650.169.88%
Oct 2023639.99-1.56%
Nov 2023576.91-9.86%
Dec 2023529.67-8.19%
Jan 2024539.451.85%
Feb 2024560.603.92%
Mar 2024580.743.59%
Apr 2024621.617.04%
May 2024576.27-7.29%
Jun 2024569.79-1.13%
Jul 2024577.361.33%
Aug 2024528.21-8.51%
Sep 2024493.37-6.60%
Oct 2024510.443.46%
Nov 2024511.060.12%
Dec 2024521.051.95%
Jan 2025577.2810.79%
Feb 2025537.25-6.93%
Mar 2025495.05-7.86%
Apr 2025445.73-9.96%
May 2025417.16-6.41%
Jun 2025443.246.25%
Jul 2025442.62-0.14%
Aug 2025435.10-1.70%
Sep 2025430.91-0.96%
Oct 2025412.79-4.21%
Nov 2025412.41-0.09%
Dec 2025395.83-4.02%
Jan 2026409.093.35%
Feb 2026431.665.51%
Mar 2026593.6037.52%

Top Companies

Saudi Aramco
Website: http://www.saudiaramco.com/
Location: Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
Estimated Production: 8.5 million barrels per day

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