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India vs. Sri Lanka

Economy

IndiaSri Lanka
Economy - overview

India's diverse economy encompasses traditional village farming, modern agriculture, handicrafts, a wide range of modern industries, and a multitude of services. Slightly less than half of the workforce is in agriculture, but services are the major source of economic growth, accounting for nearly two-thirds of India's output but employing less than one-third of its labor force. India has capitalized on its large educated English-speaking population to become a major exporter of information technology services, business outsourcing services, and software workers. Nevertheless, per capita income remains below the world average. India is developing into an open-market economy, yet traces of its past autarkic policies remain. Economic liberalization measures, including industrial deregulation, privatization of state-owned enterprises, and reduced controls on foreign trade and investment, began in the early 1990s and served to accelerate the country's growth, which averaged nearly 7% per year from 1997 to 2017.

India's economic growth slowed in 2011 because of a decline in investment caused by high interest rates, rising inflation, and investor pessimism about the government's commitment to further economic reforms and about slow world growth. Investors' perceptions of India improved in early 2014, due to a reduction of the current account deficit and expectations of post-election economic reform, resulting in a surge of inbound capital flows and stabilization of the rupee. Growth rebounded in 2014 through 2016. Despite a high growth rate compared to the rest of the world, India's government-owned banks faced mounting bad debt, resulting in low credit growth. Rising macroeconomic imbalances in India and improving economic conditions in Western countries led investors to shift capital away from India, prompting a sharp depreciation of the rupee through 2016.

The economy slowed again in 2017, due to shocks of "demonetizaton" in 2016 and introduction of GST in 2017. Since the election, the government has passed an important goods and services tax bill and raised foreign direct investment caps in some sectors, but most economic reforms have focused on administrative and governance changes, largely because the ruling party remains a minority in India's upper house of Parliament, which must approve most bills.

India has a young population and corresponding low dependency ratio, healthy savings and investment rates, and is increasing integration into the global economy. However, long-term challenges remain significant, including: India's discrimination against women and girls, an inefficient power generation and distribution system, ineffective enforcement of intellectual property rights, decades-long civil litigation dockets, inadequate transport and agricultural infrastructure, limited non-agricultural employment opportunities, high spending and poorly targeted subsidies, inadequate availability of quality basic and higher education, and accommodating rural-to-urban migration.

Sri Lanka is attempting to sustain economic growth while maintaining macroeconomic stability under the IMF program it began in 2016. The government's high debt payments and bloated civil service, which have contributed to historically high budget deficits, remain a concern. Government debt is about 79% of GDP and remains among the highest of the emerging markets. In the coming years, Sri Lanka will need to balance its elevated debt repayment schedule with its need to maintain adequate foreign exchange reserves.

In May 2016, Sri Lanka regained its preferential trade status under the European Union's Generalized System of Preferences Plus, enabling many of its firms to export products, including its top export garments, tax free to the EU. In 2017, Parliament passed a new Inland Revenue Act in an effort to increase tax collection and broaden the tax base in response to recommendations made under its IMF program. In November 2017, the Financial Action Task Force on money laundering and terrorist financing listed Sri Lanka as non-compliant, but reported subsequently that Sri Lanka had made good progress in implementing an action plan to address deficiencies.

Tourism has experienced strong growth in the years since the resolution of the government's 26-year conflict with the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam. In 2017, the government promulgated plans to transform the country into a knowledge-based, export-oriented Indian Ocean hub by 2025.

GDP (purchasing power parity)$9,155,083,000,000 (2019 est.)

$8,787,694,000,000 (2018 est.)

$8,280,935,000,000 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
$285.141 billion (2019 est.)

$278.776 billion (2018 est.)

$269.853 billion (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
GDP - real growth rate4.86% (2019 est.)

6.78% (2018 est.)

6.55% (2017 est.)
2.29% (2019 est.)

3.32% (2018 est.)

3.58% (2017 est.)
GDP - per capita (PPP)$6,700 (2019 est.)

$6,497 (2018 est.)

$6,186 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
$13,078 (2019 est.)

$12,865 (2018 est.)

$12,584 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
GDP - composition by sectoragriculture: 15.4% (2016 est.)

industry: 23% (2016 est.)

services: 61.5% (2016 est.)
agriculture: 7.8% (2017 est.)

industry: 30.5% (2017 est.)

services: 61.7% (2017 est.)
Population below poverty line21.9% (2011 est.)4.1% (2016 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage sharelowest 10%: 3.6%

highest 10%: 29.8% (2011)
lowest 10%: 3%

highest 10%: 32.2% (2012 est.)
Inflation rate (consumer prices)3.7% (2019 est.)

3.9% (2018 est.)

3.3% (2017 est.)
4.3% (2019 est.)

4.2% (2018 est.)

6.5% (2017 est.)
Labor force521.9 million (2017 est.)8 million (2020 est.)
Labor force - by occupationagriculture: 47%

industry: 22%

services: 31% (FY 2014 est.)
agriculture: 27%

industry: 26%

services: 47% (31 December 2016)
Unemployment rate8.5% (2017 est.)

8.5% (2016 est.)
4.83% (2019 est.)

4.44% (2018 est.)
Distribution of family income - Gini index35.7 (2011 est.)

37.8 (1997)
39.8 (2016 est.)

46 (1995)
Budgetrevenues: 238.2 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 329 billion (2017 est.)
revenues: 12.07 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 16.88 billion (2017 est.)
Industriestextiles, chemicals, food processing, steel, transportation equipment, cement, mining, petroleum, machinery, software, pharmaceuticalsprocessing of rubber, tea, coconuts, tobacco and other agricultural commodities; telecommunications, insurance, banking; tourism, shipping; clothing, textiles; cement, petroleum refining, information technology services, construction
Industrial production growth rate5.5% (2017 est.)4.6% (2017 est.)
Agriculture - productssugar cane, rice, wheat, buffalo milk, milk, potatoes, vegetables, bananas, maize, mangoes/guavasrice, coconuts, sugar cane, plantains, milk, tea, cassava, maize, poultry, coir
Exports$572.073 billion (2019 est.)

$564.165 billion (2018 est.)

$509.661 billion (2017 est.)
$16.322 billion (2019 est.)

$15.238 billion (2018 est.)

$15.166 billion (2017 est.)
Exports - commoditiesrefined petroleum, diamonds, packaged medicines, jewelry, cars (2019)clothing and apparel, tea, used tires, rubber products, precious stones, cinnamon (2019)
Exports - partnersUnited States 17%, United Arab Emirates 9%, China 5% (2019)United States 24%, India 8%, United Kingdom 7%, Germany 7% (2019)
Imports$624.314 billion (2019 est.)

$656.529 billion (2018 est.)

$575.121 billion (2017 est.)
$24.984 billion (2019 est.)

$26.521 billion (2018 est.)

$26.063 billion (2017 est.)
Imports - commoditiescrude petroleum, gold, coal, diamonds, natural gas (2019)refined petroleum, textiles, gold, cars, broadcasting equipment (2019)
Imports - partnersChina 15%, United States 7%, United Arab Emirates 6%, Saudi Arabia 5% (2019)India 24%, China 23%, Singapore 7%, United Arab Emirates 6%, Malaysia 5% (2019)
Debt - external$555.388 billion (2019 est.)

$518.34 billion (2018 est.)
$55.332 billion (2019 est.)

$52.567 billion (2018 est.)
Exchange ratesIndian rupees (INR) per US dollar -

73.565 (2020 est.)

71.05 (2019 est.)

70.7675 (2018 est.)

64.152 (2014 est.)

61.03 (2013 est.)
Sri Lankan rupees (LKR) per US dollar -

185.8 (2020 est.)

181.2 (2019 est.)

178.545 (2018 est.)

135.86 (2014 est.)

130.57 (2013 est.)
Fiscal year1 April - 31 Marchcalendar year
Public debt71.2% of GDP (2017 est.)

69.5% of GDP (2016 est.)

note: data cover central government debt, and exclude debt instruments issued (or owned) by government entities other than the treasury; the data include treasury debt held by foreign entities; the data exclude debt issued by subnational entities, as well as intragovernmental debt; intragovernmental debt consists of treasury borrowings from surpluses in the social funds, such as for retirement, medical care, and unemployment; debt instruments for the social funds are not sold at public auctions
79.1% of GDP (2017 est.)

79.6% of GDP (2016 est.)

note: covers central government debt and excludes debt instruments directly owned by government entities other than the treasury (e.g. commercial bank borrowings of a government corporation); the data includes treasury debt held by foreign entities as well as intragovernmental debt; intragovernmental debt consists of treasury borrowings from surpluses in the social funds, such as for retirement; sub-national entities are usually not permitted to sell debt instruments
Reserves of foreign exchange and gold$409.8 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$359.7 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
$7.959 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$6.019 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
Current Account Balance-$29.748 billion (2019 est.)

-$65.939 billion (2018 est.)
-$10 million (2019 est.)

-$17 million (2018 est.)
GDP (official exchange rate)$2,835,927,000,000 (2019 est.)$84.016 billion (2019 est.)
Credit ratingsFitch rating: BBB- (2006)

Moody's rating: Baa3 (2020)

Standard & Poors rating: BBB- (2007)
Fitch rating: CCC (2020)

Moody's rating: Caa1 (2020)

Standard & Poors rating: CCC+ (2020)
Ease of Doing Business Index scoresOverall score: 71 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 81.6 (2020)

Trading score: 82.5 (2020)

Enforcement score: 41.2 (2020)
Overall score: 61.8 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 88.2 (2020)

Trading score: 73.3 (2020)

Enforcement score: 41.2 (2020)
Taxes and other revenues9.2% (of GDP) (2017 est.)13.8% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Budget surplus (+) or deficit (-)-3.5% (of GDP) (2017 est.)-5.5% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Unemployment, youth ages 15-24total: 22.3%

male: 21.9%

female: 23.8% (2019 est.)
total: 21.1%

male: 16.6%

female: 29.4% (2018 est.)
GDP - composition, by end usehousehold consumption: 59.1% (2017 est.)

government consumption: 11.5% (2017 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 28.5% (2017 est.)

investment in inventories: 3.9% (2017 est.)

exports of goods and services: 19.1% (2017 est.)

imports of goods and services: -22% (2017 est.)
household consumption: 62% (2017 est.)

government consumption: 8.5% (2017 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 26.3% (2017 est.)

investment in inventories: 10.2% (2017 est.)

exports of goods and services: 21.9% (2017 est.)

imports of goods and services: -29.1% (2017 est.)
Gross national saving29.1% of GDP (2019 est.)

31.1% of GDP (2018 est.)

31.4% of GDP (2017 est.)
25.3% of GDP (2019 est.)

27.3% of GDP (2018 est.)

29% of GDP (2017 est.)

Source: CIA Factbook