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Montenegro vs. Albania

Economy

MontenegroAlbania
Economy - overview

Montenegro's economy is transitioning to a market system. Around 90% of Montenegrin state-owned companies have been privatized, including 100% of banking, telecommunications, and oil distribution. Tourism, which accounts for more than 20% of Montenegro's GDP, brings in three times as many visitors as Montenegro's total population every year. Several new luxury tourism complexes are in various stages of development along the coast, and a number are being offered in connection with nearby boating and yachting facilities. In addition to tourism, energy and agriculture are considered two distinct pillars of the economy. Only 20% of Montenegro's hydropower potential is utilized. Montenegro plans to become a net energy exporter, and the construction of an underwater cable to Italy, which will be completed by the end of 2018, will help meet its goal.

Montenegro uses the euro as its domestic currency, though it is not an official member of the euro zone. In January 2007, Montenegro joined the World Bank and IMF, and in December 2011, the WTO. Montenegro began negotiations to join the EU in 2012, having met the conditions set down by the European Council, which called on Montenegro to take steps to fight corruption and organized crime.

The government recognizes the need to remove impediments in order to remain competitive and open the economy to foreign investors. Net foreign direct investment in 2017 reached $848 million and investment per capita is one of the highest in Europe, due to a low corporate tax rate. The biggest foreign investors in Montenegro in 2017 were Norway, Russia, Italy, Azerbaijan and Hungary.

Montenegro is currently planning major overhauls of its road and rail networks, and possible expansions of its air transportation system. In 2014, the Government of Montenegro selected two Chinese companies to construct a 41 km-long section of the country's highway system, which will become part of China's Belt and Road Initiative. Cheaper borrowing costs have stimulated Montenegro's growing debt, which currently sits at 65.9% of GDP, with a forecast, absent fiscal consolidation, to increase to 80% once the repayment to China's Ex/Im Bank of a _800 million highway loan begins in 2019. Montenegro first instituted a value-added tax (VAT) in April 2003, and introduced differentiated VAT rates of 17% and 7% (for tourism) in January 2006. The Montenegrin Government increased the non-tourism Value Added Tax (VAT) rate to 21% as of January 2018, with the goal of reducing its public debt.

Albania, a formerly closed, centrally planned state, is a developing country with a modern open-market economy. Albania managed to weather the first waves of the global financial crisis but, the negative effects of the crisis caused a significant economic slowdown. Since 2014, Albania's economy has steadily improved and economic growth reached 3.8% in 2017. However, close trade, remittance, and banking sector ties with Greece and Italy make Albania vulnerable to spillover effects of possible debt crises and weak growth in the euro zone.

Remittances, a significant catalyst for economic growth, declined from 12-15% of GDP before the 2008 financial crisis to 5.8% of GDP in 2015, mostly from Albanians residing in Greece and Italy. The agricultural sector, which accounts for more than 40% of employment but less than one quarter of GDP, is limited primarily to small family operations and subsistence farming, because of a lack of modern equipment, unclear property rights, and the prevalence of small, inefficient plots of land. Complex tax codes and licensing requirements, a weak judicial system, endemic corruption, poor enforcement of contracts and property issues, and antiquated infrastructure contribute to Albania's poor business environment making attracting foreign investment difficult. Since 2015, Albania has launched an ambitious program to increase tax compliance and bring more businesses into the formal economy. In July 2016, Albania passed constitutional amendments reforming the judicial system in order to strengthen the rule of law and to reduce deeply entrenched corruption.

Albania's electricity supply is uneven despite upgraded transmission capacities with neighboring countries. However, the government has recently taken steps to stem non-technical losses and has begun to upgrade the distribution grid. Better enforcement of electricity contracts has improved the financial viability of the sector, decreasing its reliance on budget support. Also, with help from international donors, the government is taking steps to improve the poor road and rail networks, a long standing barrier to sustained economic growth.

Inward foreign direct investment has increased significantly in recent years as the government has embarked on an ambitious program to improve the business climate through fiscal and legislative reforms. The government is focused on the simplification of licensing requirements and tax codes, and it entered into a new arrangement with the IMF for additional financial and technical support. Albania's three-year IMF program, an extended fund facility arrangement, was successfully concluded in February 2017. The Albanian Government has strengthened tax collection amid moderate public wage and pension increases in an effort to reduce its budget deficit. The country continues to face high public debt, exceeding its former statutory limit of 60% of GDP in 2013 and reaching 72% in 2016.

GDP (purchasing power parity)$13.357 billion (2019 est.)

$12.835 billion (2018 est.)

$12.215 billion (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
$39.859 billion (2019 est.)

$38.986 billion (2018 est.)

$37.461 billion (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
GDP - real growth rate4.3% (2017 est.)

2.9% (2016 est.)

3.4% (2015 est.)
2.24% (2019 est.)

4.07% (2018 est.)

3.8% (2017 est.)
GDP - per capita (PPP)$21,470 (2019 est.)

$20,629 (2018 est.)

$19,627 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
$13,965 (2019 est.)

$13,601 (2018 est.)

$13,037 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
GDP - composition by sectoragriculture: 7.5% (2016 est.)

industry: 15.9% (2016 est.)

services: 76.6% (2016 est.)
agriculture: 21.7% (2017 est.)

industry: 24.2% (2017 est.)

services: 54.1% (2017 est.)
Population below poverty line24.5% (2018 est.)14.3% (2012 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage sharelowest 10%: 3.5%

highest 10%: 25.7% (2014 est.)
lowest 10%: 4.1%

highest 10%: 19.6% (2015 est.)
Inflation rate (consumer prices)0.3% (2019 est.)

2.6% (2018 est.)

2.3% (2017 est.)
1.4% (2019 est.)

2% (2018 est.)

1.9% (2017 est.)
Labor force167,000 (2020 est.)1.104 million (2020 est.)
Labor force - by occupationagriculture: 7.9%

industry: 17.1%

services: 75% (2017 est.)
agriculture: 41.4%

industry: 18.3%

services: 40.3% (2017 est.)
Unemployment rate15.82% (2019 est.)

18.8% (2018 est.)
5.83% (2019 est.)

6.32% (2018 est.)

note: these official rates may not include those working at near-subsistence farming
Distribution of family income - Gini index39 (2015 est.)

32.3 (2013 est.)
33.2 (2017 est.)

30 (2008 est.)
Budgetrevenues: 1.78 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 2.05 billion (2017 est.)
revenues: 3.614 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 3.874 billion (2017 est.)
Industriessteelmaking, aluminum, agricultural processing, consumer goods, tourismfood; footwear, apparel and clothing; lumber, oil, cement, chemicals, mining, basic metals, hydropower
Industrial production growth rate-4.2% (2017 est.)6.8% (2017 est.)
Agriculture - productsmilk, potatoes, grapes, vegetables, tomatoes, watermelons, wheat, apples, cabbages, barleymilk, maize, tomatoes, potatoes, watermelons, wheat, grapes, cucumbers, onions, apples
Exports$422.2 million (2017 est.)

$362 million (2016 est.)
$900.7 million (2017 est.)

$789.1 million (2016 est.)
Exports - commoditiesaluminum, packaged medicines, cars, zinc, wine (2019)leather footwear and parts, crude petroleum, iron alloys, clothing, electricity, perfumes (2019)
Exports - partnersSerbia 17%, Hungary 15%, China 11%, Russia 7%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 6%, Germany 6%, Italy 5%, Poland 5% (2019)Italy 45%, Spain 8%, Germany 6%, Greece 5%, France 4%, China 4% (2019)
Imports$2.618 billion (2017 est.)

$2.29 billion (2016 est.)
$4.103 billion (2017 est.)

$3.67 billion (2016 est.)
Imports - commoditiesrefined petroleum, cars, packaged medicines, recreational boats, cigarettes (2019)refined petroleum, cars, tanned hides, packaged medical supplies, footwear parts (2019)
Imports - partnersSerbia 30%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 8%, Croatia 8%, Italy 6%, Greece 6%, Germany 5% (2019)Italy 28%, Greece 12%, China 11%, Turkey 9%, Germany 5% (2019)
Debt - external$2.516 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$2.224 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
$9.311 billion (2019 est.)

$9.547 billion (2018 est.)
Exchange rateseuros (EUR) per US dollar -

0.885 (2017 est.)

0.903 (2016 est.)

0.9214 (2015 est.)

0.885 (2014 est.)

0.7634 (2013 est.)
leke (ALL) per US dollar -

102.43 (2020 est.)

111.36 (2019 est.)

108.57 (2018 est.)

125.96 (2014 est.)

105.48 (2013 est.)
Fiscal yearcalendar yearcalendar year
Public debt67.2% of GDP (2017 est.)

66.4% of GDP (2016 est.)

note: data cover general government debt, and includes debt instruments issued (or owned) by government entities other than the treasury; the data include treasury debt held by foreign entities; the data include debt issued by subnational entities, as well as intragovernmental debt; intragovernmental debt consists of treasury borrowings from surpluses in the social funds, such as for retirement, medical care, and unemployment; debt instruments for the social funds are not sold at public auctions
71.8% of GDP (2017 est.)

73.2% of GDP (2016 est.)
Reserves of foreign exchange and gold$1.077 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$846.5 million (31 December 2016 est.)
$3.59 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$3.109 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
Current Account Balance-$780 million (2017 est.)

-$710 million (2016 est.)
-$908 million (2017 est.)

-$899 million (2016 est.)
GDP (official exchange rate)$5.486 billion (2019 est.)$15.273 billion (2019 est.)
Credit ratingsMoody's rating: B1 (2016)

Standard & Poors rating: B+ (2014)
Moody's rating: B1 (2007)

Standard & Poors rating: B+ (2016)
Ease of Doing Business Index scoresOverall score: 73.8 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 86.7 (2020)

Trading score: 91.9 (2020)

Enforcement score: 66.8 (2020)
Overall score: 67.7 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 91.8 (2020)

Trading score: 96.3 (2020)

Enforcement score: 53.5 (2020)
Taxes and other revenues37.2% (of GDP) (2017 est.)27.6% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Budget surplus (+) or deficit (-)-5.6% (of GDP) (2017 est.)-2% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Unemployment, youth ages 15-24total: 25.2%

male: 25.8%

female: 24.3% (2019 est.)
total: 27%

male: 27.8%

female: 25.9% (2019 est.)
GDP - composition, by end usehousehold consumption: 76.8% (2016 est.)

government consumption: 19.6% (2016 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 23.2% (2016 est.)

investment in inventories: 2.9% (2016 est.)

exports of goods and services: 40.5% (2016 est.)

imports of goods and services: -63% (2016 est.)
household consumption: 78.1% (2017 est.)

government consumption: 11.5% (2017 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 25.2% (2017 est.)

investment in inventories: 0.2% (2017 est.)

exports of goods and services: 31.5% (2017 est.)

imports of goods and services: -46.6% (2017 est.)
Gross national saving16.9% of GDP (2019 est.)

14.9% of GDP (2018 est.)

14.2% of GDP (2017 est.)
14% of GDP (2019 est.)

16.8% of GDP (2018 est.)

16.5% of GDP (2017 est.)

Source: CIA Factbook