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El Salvador vs. Guatemala

Economy

El SalvadorGuatemala
Economy - overview

The smallest country in Central America geographically, El Salvador has the fourth largest economy in the region. With the global recession, real GDP contracted in 2009 and economic growth has since remained low, averaging less than 2% from 2010 to 2014, but recovered somewhat in 2015-17 with an average annual growth rate of 2.4%. Remittances accounted for approximately 18% of GDP in 2017 and were received by about a third of all households.

In 2006, El Salvador was the first country to ratify the Dominican Republic-Central American Free Trade Agreement, which has bolstered the export of processed foods, sugar, and ethanol, and supported investment in the apparel sector amid increased Asian competition. In September 2015, El Salvador kicked off a five-year $277 million second compact with the Millennium Challenge Corporation - a US Government agency aimed at stimulating economic growth and reducing poverty - to improve El Salvador's competitiveness and productivity in international markets.

The Salvadoran Government maintained fiscal discipline during reconstruction and rebuilding following earthquakes in 2001 and hurricanes in 1998 and 2005, but El Salvador's public debt, estimated at 59.3% of GDP in 2017, has been growing over the last several years.

Guatemala is the most populous country in Central America with a GDP per capita roughly half the average for Latin America and the Caribbean. The agricultural sector accounts for 13.5% of GDP and 31% of the labor force; key agricultural exports include sugar, coffee, bananas, and vegetables. Guatemala is the top remittance recipient in Central America as a result of Guatemala's large expatriate community in the US. These inflows are a primary source of foreign income, equivalent to two-thirds of the country's exports and about a tenth of its GDP.

The 1996 peace accords, which ended 36 years of civil war, removed a major obstacle to foreign investment, and Guatemala has since pursued important reforms and macroeconomic stabilization. The Dominican Republic-Central America Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR) entered into force in July 2006, spurring increased investment and diversification of exports, with the largest increases in ethanol and non-traditional agricultural exports. While CAFTA-DR has helped improve the investment climate, concerns over security, the lack of skilled workers, and poor infrastructure continue to hamper foreign direct investment.

The distribution of income remains highly unequal with the richest 20% of the population accounting for more than 51% of Guatemala's overall consumption. More than half of the population is below the national poverty line, and 23% of the population lives in extreme poverty. Poverty among indigenous groups, which make up more than 40% of the population, averages 79%, with 40% of the indigenous population living in extreme poverty. Nearly one-half of Guatemala's children under age five are chronically malnourished, one of the highest malnutrition rates in the world.

GDP (purchasing power parity)$56.636 billion (2019 est.)

$55.318 billion (2018 est.)

$54.005 billion (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
$143.416 billion (2019 est.)

$138.106 billion (2018 est.)

$133.804 billion (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
GDP - real growth rate2.3% (2017 est.)

2.6% (2016 est.)

2.4% (2015 est.)
2.8% (2017 est.)

3.1% (2016 est.)

4.1% (2015 est.)
GDP - per capita (PPP)$8,776 (2019 est.)

$8,616 (2018 est.)

$8,454 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
$8,637 (2019 est.)

$8,448 (2018 est.)

$8,317 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
GDP - composition by sectoragriculture: 12% (2017 est.)

industry: 27.7% (2017 est.)

services: 60.3% (2017 est.)
agriculture: 13.3% (2017 est.)

industry: 23.4% (2017 est.)

services: 63.2% (2017 est.)
Population below poverty line22.8% (2019 est.)59.3% (2014 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage sharelowest 10%: 2.2%

highest 10%: 32.3% (2014 est.)
lowest 10%: 1.6%

highest 10%: 38.4% (2014)
Inflation rate (consumer prices)0% (2019 est.)

1% (2018 est.)

1% (2017 est.)
3.7% (2019 est.)

3.7% (2018 est.)

4.4% (2017 est.)
Labor force2.908 million (2019 est.)6.664 million (2017 est.)
Labor force - by occupationagriculture: 21%

industry: 20%

services: 58% (2011 est.)
agriculture: 31.4%

industry: 12.8%

services: 55.8% (2017 est.)
Unemployment rate7% (2017 est.)

6.9% (2016 est.)

note: data are official rates; but underemployment is high
2.3% (2017 est.)

2.4% (2016 est.)
Distribution of family income - Gini index38.6 (2018 est.)

38 (2014)
48.3 (2014 est.)

56 (2011)
Budgetrevenues: 5.886 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 6.517 billion (2017 est.)
revenues: 8.164 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 9.156 billion (2017 est.)
Industriesfood processing, beverages, petroleum, chemicals, fertilizer, textiles, furniture, light metalssugar, textiles and clothing, furniture, chemicals, petroleum, metals, rubber, tourism
Industrial production growth rate3.6% (2017 est.)1.8% (2017 est.)
Agriculture - productssugar cane, maize, milk, poultry, sorghum, beans, coconuts, eggs, apples, orangessugar cane, bananas, oil palm fruit, maize, melons, potatoes, milk, plantains, pineapples, rubber
Exports$4.662 billion (2017 est.)

$5.42 billion (2016 est.)
$11.12 billion (2017 est.)

$10.58 billion (2016 est.)
Exports - commoditiestextiles and apparel, electrical capacitors, plastic lids, raw sugar, toilet paper (2019)bananas, raw sugar, coffee, cardamom, palm oil (2019)
Exports - partnersUnited States 40%, Guatemala 15%, Honduras 15%, Nicaragua 6% (2019)United States 33%, El Salvador 12%, Honduras 8%, Mexico 5%, Nicaragua 5% (2019)
Imports$9.499 billion (2017 est.)

$8.954 billion (2016 est.)
$17.11 billion (2017 est.)

$15.77 billion (2016 est.)
Imports - commoditiesrefined petroleum, packaged medicines, clothing, broadcasting equipment, natural gas (2019)refined petroleum, broadcasting equipment, packaged medicines, cars, delivery trucks (2019)
Imports - partnersUnited States 30%, China 14%, Guatemala 13%, Mexico 8%, Honduras 6% (2019)United States 36%, China 12%, Mexico 11%, El Salvador 5% (2019)
Debt - external$17.24 billion (2019 est.)

$16.712 billion (2018 est.)
$22.92 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$21.45 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
Exchange ratesnote: the US dollar is used as a medium of exchange and circulates freely in the economy

1 (2017 est.)
quetzales (GTQ) per US dollar -

7.323 (2017 est.)

7.5999 (2016 est.)

7.5999 (2015 est.)

7.6548 (2014 est.)

7.7322 (2013 est.)
Fiscal yearcalendar yearcalendar year
Public debt67.9% of GDP (2017 est.)

66.4% of GDP (2016 est.)

note: El Salvador's total public debt includes non-financial public sector debt, financial public sector debt, and central bank debt
24.7% of GDP (2017 est.)

24.5% of GDP (2016 est.)
Reserves of foreign exchange and gold$3.567 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$3.238 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
$11.77 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$9.156 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
Current Account Balance-$501 million (2017 est.)

-$500 million (2016 est.)
$1.134 billion (2017 est.)

$1.023 billion (2016 est.)
GDP (official exchange rate)$27.023 billion (2019 est.)$76.678 billion (2019 est.)
Credit ratingsFitch rating: B- (2017)

Moody's rating: B3 (2018)

Standard & Poors rating: B- (2018)
Fitch rating: BB- (2020)

Moody's rating: Ba1 (2010)

Standard & Poors rating: BB- (2017)
Ease of Doing Business Index scoresOverall score: 65.3 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 78.6 (2020)

Trading score: 89.8 (2020)

Enforcement score: 51.9 (2020)
Overall score: 62.6 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 86.8 (2020)

Trading score: 77.2 (2020)

Enforcement score: 34.5 (2020)
Taxes and other revenues23.7% (of GDP) (2017 est.)10.8% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Budget surplus (+) or deficit (-)-2.5% (of GDP) (2017 est.)-1.3% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Unemployment, youth ages 15-24total: 9.9%

male: 8.3%

female: 12.8% (2019)
total: 5%

male: 3.7%

female: 8.1% (2017 est.)
GDP - composition, by end usehousehold consumption: 84.5% (2017 est.)

government consumption: 15.8% (2017 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 16.9% (2017 est.)

investment in inventories: 0% (2017 est.)

exports of goods and services: 27.6% (2017 est.)

imports of goods and services: -44.9% (2017 est.)
household consumption: 86.3% (2017 est.)

government consumption: 9.7% (2017 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 12.3% (2017 est.)

investment in inventories: -0.2% (2017 est.)

exports of goods and services: 18.8% (2017 est.)

imports of goods and services: -26.9% (2017 est.)
Gross national saving17% of GDP (2019 est.)

15.6% of GDP (2018 est.)

15% of GDP (2017 est.)
16.9% of GDP (2019 est.)

14.7% of GDP (2018 est.)

14.7% of GDP (2017 est.)

Source: CIA Factbook