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Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Montenegro

Economy

Bosnia and HerzegovinaMontenegro
Economy - overview

Bosnia and Herzegovina has a transitional economy with limited market reforms. The economy relies heavily on the export of metals, energy, textiles, and furniture as well as on remittances and foreign aid. A highly decentralized government hampers economic policy coordination and reform, while excessive bureaucracy and a segmented market discourage foreign investment. The economy is among the least competitive in the region. Foreign banks, primarily from Austria and Italy, control much of the banking sector, though the largest bank is a private domestic one. The konvertibilna marka (convertible mark) - the national currency introduced in 1998 - is pegged to the euro through a currency board arrangement, which has maintained confidence in the currency and has facilitated reliable trade links with European partners. Bosnia and Herzegovina became a full member of the Central European Free Trade Agreement in September 2007. In 2016, Bosnia began a three-year IMF loan program, but it has struggled to meet the economic reform benchmarks required to receive all funding installments.

Bosnia and Herzegovina's private sector is growing slowly, but foreign investment dropped sharply after 2007 and remains low. High unemployment remains the most serious macroeconomic problem. Successful implementation of a value-added tax in 2006 provided a steady source of revenue for the government and helped rein in gray-market activity, though public perceptions of government corruption and misuse of taxpayer money has encouraged a large informal economy to persist. National-level statistics have improved over time, but a large share of economic activity remains unofficial and unrecorded.

Bosnia and Herzegovina's top economic priorities are: acceleration of integration into the EU; strengthening the fiscal system; public administration reform; World Trade Organization membership; and securing economic growth by fostering a dynamic, competitive private sector.

Montenegro's economy is transitioning to a market system. Around 90% of Montenegrin state-owned companies have been privatized, including 100% of banking, telecommunications, and oil distribution. Tourism, which accounts for more than 20% of Montenegro's GDP, brings in three times as many visitors as Montenegro's total population every year. Several new luxury tourism complexes are in various stages of development along the coast, and a number are being offered in connection with nearby boating and yachting facilities. In addition to tourism, energy and agriculture are considered two distinct pillars of the economy. Only 20% of Montenegro's hydropower potential is utilized. Montenegro plans to become a net energy exporter, and the construction of an underwater cable to Italy, which will be completed by the end of 2018, will help meet its goal.

Montenegro uses the euro as its domestic currency, though it is not an official member of the euro zone. In January 2007, Montenegro joined the World Bank and IMF, and in December 2011, the WTO. Montenegro began negotiations to join the EU in 2012, having met the conditions set down by the European Council, which called on Montenegro to take steps to fight corruption and organized crime.

The government recognizes the need to remove impediments in order to remain competitive and open the economy to foreign investors. Net foreign direct investment in 2017 reached $848 million and investment per capita is one of the highest in Europe, due to a low corporate tax rate. The biggest foreign investors in Montenegro in 2017 were Norway, Russia, Italy, Azerbaijan and Hungary.

Montenegro is currently planning major overhauls of its road and rail networks, and possible expansions of its air transportation system. In 2014, the Government of Montenegro selected two Chinese companies to construct a 41 km-long section of the country's highway system, which will become part of China's Belt and Road Initiative. Cheaper borrowing costs have stimulated Montenegro's growing debt, which currently sits at 65.9% of GDP, with a forecast, absent fiscal consolidation, to increase to 80% once the repayment to China's Ex/Im Bank of a _800 million highway loan begins in 2019. Montenegro first instituted a value-added tax (VAT) in April 2003, and introduced differentiated VAT rates of 17% and 7% (for tourism) in January 2006. The Montenegrin Government increased the non-tourism Value Added Tax (VAT) rate to 21% as of January 2018, with the goal of reducing its public debt.

GDP (purchasing power parity)$49.224 billion (2019 est.)

$47.94 billion (2018 est.)

$46.212 billion (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
$13.357 billion (2019 est.)

$12.835 billion (2018 est.)

$12.215 billion (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
GDP - real growth rate3% (2017 est.)

3.2% (2016 est.)

3.1% (2015 est.)
4.3% (2017 est.)

2.9% (2016 est.)

3.4% (2015 est.)
GDP - per capita (PPP)$14,912 (2019 est.)

$14,423 (2018 est.)

$13,788 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2010 dollars
$21,470 (2019 est.)

$20,629 (2018 est.)

$19,627 (2017 est.)

note: data are in 2017 dollars
GDP - composition by sectoragriculture: 6.8% (2017 est.)

industry: 28.9% (2017 est.)

services: 64.3% (2017 est.)
agriculture: 7.5% (2016 est.)

industry: 15.9% (2016 est.)

services: 76.6% (2016 est.)
Population below poverty line16.9% (2015 est.)24.5% (2018 est.)
Household income or consumption by percentage sharelowest 10%: 2.9%

highest 10%: 25.8% (2011 est.)
lowest 10%: 3.5%

highest 10%: 25.7% (2014 est.)
Inflation rate (consumer prices)1.2% (2017 est.)

-1.1% (2016 est.)
0.3% (2019 est.)

2.6% (2018 est.)

2.3% (2017 est.)
Labor force806,000 (2020 est.)167,000 (2020 est.)
Labor force - by occupationagriculture: 18%

industry: 30.4%

services: 51.7% (2017 est.)
agriculture: 7.9%

industry: 17.1%

services: 75% (2017 est.)
Unemployment rate33.28% (2019 est.)

35.97% (2018 est.)

note: official rate; actual rate is lower as many technically unemployed persons work in the gray economy
15.82% (2019 est.)

18.8% (2018 est.)
Distribution of family income - Gini index33 (2011 est.)

33.1 (2007)
39 (2015 est.)

32.3 (2013 est.)
Budgetrevenues: 7.993 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 7.607 billion (2017 est.)
revenues: 1.78 billion (2017 est.)

expenditures: 2.05 billion (2017 est.)
Industriessteel, coal, iron ore, lead, zinc, manganese, bauxite, aluminum, motor vehicle assembly, textiles, tobacco products, wooden furniture, ammunition, domestic appliances, oil refiningsteelmaking, aluminum, agricultural processing, consumer goods, tourism
Industrial production growth rate3% (2017 est.)-4.2% (2017 est.)
Agriculture - productsmaize, milk, vegetables, potatoes, wheat, plums/sloes, apples, barley, cabbages, poultrymilk, potatoes, grapes, vegetables, tomatoes, watermelons, wheat, apples, cabbages, barley
Exports$8.843 billion (2019 est.)

$8.91 billion (2018 est.)

$8.395 billion (2017 est.)
$422.2 million (2017 est.)

$362 million (2016 est.)
Exports - commoditieselectricity, seating, leather shoes, furniture, insulated wiring (2019)aluminum, packaged medicines, cars, zinc, wine (2019)
Exports - partnersGermany 14%, Italy 12%, Croatia 11%, Serbia 11%, Austria 9%, Slovenia 8% (2019)Serbia 17%, Hungary 15%, China 11%, Russia 7%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 6%, Germany 6%, Italy 5%, Poland 5% (2019)
Imports$12.561 billion (2019 est.)

$12.441 billion (2018 est.)

$11.999 billion (2017 est.)
$2.618 billion (2017 est.)

$2.29 billion (2016 est.)
Imports - commoditiesrefined petroleum, cars, packaged medicines, coal, electricity (2019)refined petroleum, cars, packaged medicines, recreational boats, cigarettes (2019)
Imports - partnersCroatia 15%, Serbia 13%, Germany 10%, Italy 9%, Slovenia 7%, China 6% (2019)Serbia 30%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 8%, Croatia 8%, Italy 6%, Greece 6%, Germany 5% (2019)
Debt - external$10.87 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$10.64 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
$2.516 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$2.224 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
Exchange rateskonvertibilna markas (BAM) per US dollar -

1.729 (2017 est.)

1.7674 (2016 est.)

1.7674 (2015 est.)

1.7626 (2014 est.)

1.4718 (2013 est.)
euros (EUR) per US dollar -

0.885 (2017 est.)

0.903 (2016 est.)

0.9214 (2015 est.)

0.885 (2014 est.)

0.7634 (2013 est.)
Fiscal yearcalendar yearcalendar year
Public debt39.5% of GDP (2017 est.)

44.1% of GDP (2016 est.)

note: data cover general government debt and includes debt instruments issued (or owned) by government entities other than the treasury; the data include treasury debt held by foreign entities; the data include debt issued by subnational entities, as well as intra-governmental debt; intra-governmental debt consists of treasury borrowings from surpluses in the social funds, such as for retirement, medical care, and unemployment; debt instruments for the social funds are not sold at public auctions.
67.2% of GDP (2017 est.)

66.4% of GDP (2016 est.)

note: data cover general government debt, and includes debt instruments issued (or owned) by government entities other than the treasury; the data include treasury debt held by foreign entities; the data include debt issued by subnational entities, as well as intragovernmental debt; intragovernmental debt consists of treasury borrowings from surpluses in the social funds, such as for retirement, medical care, and unemployment; debt instruments for the social funds are not sold at public auctions
Reserves of foreign exchange and gold$6.474 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$5.137 billion (31 December 2016 est.)
$1.077 billion (31 December 2017 est.)

$846.5 million (31 December 2016 est.)
Current Account Balance-$873 million (2017 est.)

-$821 million (2016 est.)
-$780 million (2017 est.)

-$710 million (2016 est.)
GDP (official exchange rate)$20.078 billion (2019 est.)$5.486 billion (2019 est.)
Credit ratingsMoody's rating: B3 (2012)

Standard & Poors rating: B (2011)
Moody's rating: B1 (2016)

Standard & Poors rating: B+ (2014)
Ease of Doing Business Index scoresOverall score: 65.4 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 60 (2020)

Trading score: 95.7 (2020)

Enforcement score: 57.8 (2020)
Overall score: 73.8 (2020)

Starting a Business score: 86.7 (2020)

Trading score: 91.9 (2020)

Enforcement score: 66.8 (2020)
Taxes and other revenues44% (of GDP) (2017 est.)37.2% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Budget surplus (+) or deficit (-)2.1% (of GDP) (2017 est.)-5.6% (of GDP) (2017 est.)
Unemployment, youth ages 15-24total: 33.8%

male: 31.3%

female: 37.9% (2019 est.)
total: 25.2%

male: 25.8%

female: 24.3% (2019 est.)
GDP - composition, by end usehousehold consumption: 77.4% (2017 est.)

government consumption: 20% (2017 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 16.6% (2017 est.)

investment in inventories: 2.3% (2017 est.)

exports of goods and services: 38.7% (2017 est.)

imports of goods and services: -55.1% (2017 est.)
household consumption: 76.8% (2016 est.)

government consumption: 19.6% (2016 est.)

investment in fixed capital: 23.2% (2016 est.)

investment in inventories: 2.9% (2016 est.)

exports of goods and services: 40.5% (2016 est.)

imports of goods and services: -63% (2016 est.)
Gross national saving16.6% of GDP (2019 est.)

15.9% of GDP (2018 est.)

13.7% of GDP (2017 est.)
16.9% of GDP (2019 est.)

14.9% of GDP (2018 est.)

14.2% of GDP (2017 est.)

Source: CIA Factbook